Planning on watching today’s Bearcats and Bears game? Catch the action at Foster Pavilion in Waco, TX, as the Bears hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN. The odds for this Big 12 conference game currently have the Bears as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 151.5 points.

CINCINNATI BEARCATS VS BAYLOR BEARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Bearcats +6.5

This game will be played at Foster Pavilion at 8:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.

WHY BET THE CINCINNATI BEARCATS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-70 in favor of the Bears.
  • Even though we have Baylor winning straight-up, we like Cincinnati at +6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 151.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Can Cincinnati Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

So far this season, Cincinnati is 12-3, including a 1-1 mark in Big 12 play. On the road, the Bearcats are 2-2, compared to 10-1 at home. This season, they have been the underdog twice, going 1-1 in those games.

In their last game, the Bearcats lost to Texas by a score of 74-73. Over their last 10 games on the road, Cincinnati is 4-6. Their average scoring margin on the road is -0.8 points per game.

As the underdog, Cincinnati has gone 1-1 vs. the spread this season and is 5-5 vs. the spread in their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, the Bearcats have a 1-3 ATS record this year and are just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 road games. Overall, Cincinnati is 6-9 ATS this season.

So far this season, the over/under record for Cincinnati games sits at 9-6. Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (147.2). Across their last three games, the average scoring total is 137 points compared to their season average of 146.7 points per game.

Against Texas, the Cincinnati had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 80.7 points per game. They scored 73 points and posted a field goal percentage of 47.5% in the game. Simas Lukosius was the leading scorer for the Bearcats, putting up 19 points. In addition, Viktor Lakhin contributed 17 points.

Cincinnati’s defense has been playing well, ranking 63rd nationally, with 66.0 points allowed per game. Against Texas in their most recent game, the Cincinnati defense gave up a total of 74 points while allowing Texas to hit 47% of their shots.

Can the Bears Hold Strong at Home?

After winning their last game against BYU by a score of 81-72, Baylor enters this contest with a record of 13-2. They have won three straight games and are currently on a 10-game winning streak at home. For the season, they are 10-0 at home and have an average scoring margin of +25.7 points per game.

As a team, Baylor is averaging 81.1 points per game, while allowing 62.7 points per game. They have been favored in 11 of their 15 games this season, going 10-1 in those games. In their one game as the underdog, they lost to Washington by a score of 67-64.

As the favorite this season, Baylor has an 8-3 record vs. the spread. At home, the Bears are 9-1 ATS and have gone 3-0 vs. the spread in their last three home games. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Baylor has an 8-2 ATS mark.

So far this season, the over/under record for Baylor games is 8-5. Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (150.5). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 157 points.

In their recent matchup, the Baylor offense ended with 81 points against BYU. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 43.1% and made 10 threes. Offensively, the Bears have a season long field goal percentage of 51%, which is 17th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 26th in percentage and 37th in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Bears’ defense is positioned 126th in the country, permitting 69.5 points per game. In their previous game vs. BYU, the Cougars finished with a field goal percentage of 43% and a total of 72 points vs. Baylor.