Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints – Free Betting Pick Week 17

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

 
Sunday, 12/30/2018 at 01:00 pm CAROLINA (7-9) at NEW ORLEANS (13-3)
Expanded Matchup Game Center Bet Now Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY
305CAROLINA 43 23.5 23.9 7-9 7-9-0 8-8-0 133.5 239.8 373.3 112.8 240.4 353.2
306NEW ORLEANS -7 31.5 22.1 13-3 10-6-0 7-9-0 126.6 252.6 379.2 80.3 268.8 349.1

Last Updated: 2018-12-30

In the final week of the NFL regular season, the Carolina Panthers (+8) are ready to pay a visit to their NFC South counterpart New Orleans Saints (-8) at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. Kickoff for this showdown is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and FOX has the TV rights.

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints Betting Odds

New Orleans is giving up 8 points in this NFC matchup. The Panthers are currently receiving +260 moneyline odds while the Saints are -330. The over/under is set at 44.5 points, and it looks like there should be multiple good live betting opportunities in this match.

The line opened at -8 while the over/under hasn’t moved since it opened at 44.5.

The Panthers are 6-9 straight up (SU), including 1-4 SU against NFC South opponents. The Saints are 13-2 SU overall and 4-1 SU against divisional foes. The Panthers are 6-9 against the spread (ATS) and are down 4.2 units so far in 2018. The team has posted an O/U record of 7-8.

The Saints have been a pleasant surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 6.0 units. The team is 10-5 ATS and has an O/U record of 6-9.

New Orleans enters this one on a seven-game losing streak while Carolina has won its last three in a row. The Panthers hope to bounce back after a 24-10 loss to Atlanta last week. The passing game could’ve been more effective as Taylor Heinicke completed 33 passes for 274 yards, one score and three interceptions. Christian McCaffrey (101 rushing yards on 21 attempts) mounted the ground attack. McCaffrey (12 receptions, 77 yards) and Jarius Wright (seven catches, 69 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

New Orleans just earned a 31-28 win over Pittsburgh in Week 16. Drew Brees completed 27-of-39 passes for 326 yards and one touchdown. Mark Ingram (35 yards on 11 rush attempts, one TD) spearheaded the running game while Michael Thomas (11 receptions, 109 yards, one TD) and Ted Ginn Jr. (five catches, 74 yards) led the receiving attack in the win.

Carolina has run the ball on 41.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New Orleans has an overall rush percentage of 47.2 percent. The Panthers have produced 135 rush yards per game (including 141 per game versus South opponents) and have 15 scores on the ground this year. The Saints are logging 123 rushing yards per contest (118 in conference) and have 25 total rush TDs.

The Panthers have logged 254 yards/game in the air overall (275 per game versus conference opposition) and have 26 passing scores so far. The Saints have recorded 270 pass yards per outing (282.0 in the NFC) and have 32 total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Carolina seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 108 rush yards and 263 pass yards per game. New Orleans has allowed 78.1 rushing yards per game and 290.3 to opponents in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Panthers have given up an ANY/A of 7.07 to opposing QBs, while the Saints are yielding an ANY/A of 6.87.

Heinicke has put up 320 passing yards this year. He’s completed 35-of-57 attempts with one passing touchdowns and three interceptions. Heinicke has a 3.19 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 2.58 over the last two games.

On the other sideline, Drew Brees has tallied 3,789 yards, 32 TDs and four INTs. Brees’ ANY/A sits at 8.83 for the season and 6.14 over his last two outings.

Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints Betting Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Panthers, ATS Winner – Panthers, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Notes

New Orleans has lost nine fumbles this season while Carolina has lost six.

The New Orleans defense has registered 48 sacks on the year while Carolina has just 33.

As a team, Carolina has averaged 4.6 yards per rush attempt over its last three outings and 5.0 over its last two.

New Orleans has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.2 over its last two.

Over its last three contests, New Orleans is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Carolina’s previous game was set at 46. The under cashed in the team’s 24-10 loss to Atlanta.

In its last three matches, Carolina is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for New Orleans’ previous game was set at 53. The over cashed in the team’s 31-28 victory over Pittsburgh.

New Orleans has won 14 of its last 15 games SU, with a -3-point defeat to Dallas on November 29th accounting for the lone loss over that span.

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