The Golden Griffins and Stags are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPNU. The Stags will host the game at Leo D. Mahoney Arena in Fairfield, CT. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 145.5 points, and Fairfield is favored by -8.5 to win at home against Canisius.


The Pick: Canisius Golden Griffins +8.5

This game will be played at Leo D. Mahoney Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, March 7th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Stags.
  • Even though we have Fairfield winning straight-up, we like Canisius at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Golden Griffins Pull the Upset on the Road?

Canisius heads into this game as an underdog, as they are getting 8.5 points. On the season, they have gone 5-13 as the underdog.

So far, the Golden Griffins have gone 4-12 on the road, and over their last 10 games away from home, they are just 1-9. In their last game, they lost to Rider by a score of 65-61.

Canisius has an overall ATS record of 12-15 this season, but they are just 2-8 vs. the spread in their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, the Golden Griffins have gone 6-10 ATS this year and they are just 1-4 vs. the spread in their last 5 road games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Canisius games is 11-16. The average scoring total in their games is 142.1 points, which is lower than the average over/under line of 144.1. Today’s line of 145.5 is similar to the average OU line in their games. However, their last three games have had an average scoring total of just 123 points. Over their last 10 games, the over/under record is 3-7.

Canisius offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 61 points against Rider. In that game, they made 8/24 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 42.1%. The top scorer for the Golden Griffins was TJ Gadsden with 16 points, while Devean Williams also added 14 to the scoreboard.

At present, the Golden Griffins’ defense is nationally ranked 184th, allowing 72.4 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.1 threes per game vs. Fairfield. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.7%.

Can the Stags Secure a Win at Home?

After a close 58-55 loss to Marist, Fairfield will look to bounce back as 8.5-point favorites at home against Canisius. The Stags have been solid at home this season, going 8-4, and they have won their last two games at home.

For the season, Fairfield is 18-11, and they have gone 12-5 when favored. In their last 10 games at home, the Stags are 8-2, and they have gone 4-1 in their last five games at home.

As the favorite this season, Fairfield’s ATS record is 8-9. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Stags have gone 4-6 vs. the spread. At home this season, Fairfield has an ATS record of 6-6.

So far this season, the over/under record for Fairfield games sits at 19-9. Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is pretty close to the average over/under line in their games this year of 144.2. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points, which is a bit lower than the average over/under line of 145.5 for today’s game. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

In contrast to their season average of 76.2 points per game, the Fairfield had a below average performance. They scored 55 points against Marist and had a field goal percentage of 28.3%. Jalen Leach is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 16.3. Meanwhile, Caleb Fields also brings a PPG average of 16 into the game.

On defense, Fairfield is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 70.9 points per game. The Fairfield defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 58 points and allowed Marist to connect on 6 threes.