Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Tritons and Aggies. The game is starting at 5:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Aggies at University Credit Union Center in Davis, CA. Get ready to place your bets! This Big West conference matchup has an over/under of 140 points, and UC Davis is favored to win by -2.5 at home vs. California-San Diego.
CALIFORNIA-SAN DIEGO TRITONS VS UC DAVIS AGGIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: UC Davis Aggies -2.5
This game will be played at University Credit Union Center at 5:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.
WHY BET THE UC DAVIS AGGIES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 89-59 in favor of the Aggies.
- Not only will UC Davis pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 140 points, and we like the over with a projected 148 points.
Can the Tritons Pull Off a Road Win?
California-San Diego is 13-7 overall and 7-1 in Big West play, and they have won two straight games. On the road, they are 4-5 this season, and they are averaging a scoring margin of +2.3 per game.
As the underdog, the Tritons are 2-6 this season, and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 road games. In their last game, they defeated UC Riverside by a score of 66-65.
As the underdog this season, UC San Diego has an ATS record of 4-4. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Tritons are 5-5 vs. the spread. On the road, UCSD’s ATS mark is 5-4 this year and 6-4 in their last 10 road games.
Today’s over/under line of 140 is similar to the average over/under line in California-San Diego’s games this season (142.2). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 133 points and this season their over/under record is 7-10-1.
In their most recent game, the California-San Diego offense put up just 66 points vs. the UC Riverside Highlanders. Overall, they are now averaging 76 points per game which is 156th in the country. In terms of offense, the Tritons have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, putting them 158th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 176th in percentage and 65th in three-pointers made.
At this time, the Tritons’ defense is positioned 70th in the country, permitting 67.4 points per game. California-San Diego’s three-point defense is currently 96th in the country at 6.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.7% of their shots vs. California-San Diego.
Does UC Davis Have What it Takes at Home?
UC Davis is 7-3 at home this season, and they have won their last five games at home. Overall, they have won four straight games, and they are 12-7 on the year. In Big West Conference play, they are 7-1.
So far, UC Davis has been favored in 10 of their 19 games, and they have gone 7-3 in those games. Their average scoring margin at home is +6.4 points per game.
UC Davis has an overall ATS record of 10-7 this season and they are currently 5-5 vs. the spread as the favorite. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aggies have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for UC Davis games is 7-10. Today’s over/under line of 140 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (144.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 128 points compared to their season average of 139.5 points per game. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2.
Compared to their season average of 72.9 points per game, UC Davis struggled in their previous game. Against UC Irvine, the Aggies scored 54 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 34.6%. In terms of offense, the Aggies have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, putting them 207th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 129th in percentage and 180th in three-pointers made.
In the current season, the UC Davis defense has excelled, sitting 49th in the nation by allowing 66.3 points per game. UC Davis’ three-point defense is currently 19th in the country at 5.0 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.4% of their shots vs. UC Davis.