The Tritons and Matadors are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Matadors will host the game at Premier America Credit Union in Northridge, CA. California-San Diego is favored by -4.5 in this Big West conference contest against CSUN. The game’s over/under currently sits at 148.5 points.

CALIFORNIA-SAN DIEGO TRITONS VS CSUN MATADORS BETTING PICK

The Pick: CSUN Matadors +4.5

This game will be played at Premier America Credit Union at 8:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.

WHY BET THE CSUN MATADORS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 87-60 in favor of the Matadors.
  • Not only will CSUN pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 147 points.

Will the Tritons Defense Show Up on the Road?

California-San Diego comes into this game with an overall record of 19-10 and a Big West record of 12-4. On the road, the Tritons have gone 6-8 this season, and they are 13-4 when favored.

In their last game, the Tritons fell to Bakersfield by a score of 70-57. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 5-5, and their average scoring margin on the road this year is +2.5 points per game.

As the favorite this season, UCSD has gone 11-6 vs. the spread. Over their last three road games, the Tritons are just 1-2 ATS and 6-4 in their last 10 road contests. Overall, their road ATS record stands at 7-7.

California-San Diego’s over/under record this season is 12-13-1, and the average point total in their games is 141.2. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (142.8), and this season, 20 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. The average scoring total in their last three games is 149 points, and their over/under record across their last 10 games is 6-4.

Compared to their season average of 76.6 points per game, California-San Diego struggled in their previous game. Against Bakersfield, the Tritons scored 57 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 32.7%. Bryce Pope is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 18. Meanwhile, Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones also brings a PPG average of 13.2 into the game.

California-San Diego’s defense has been playing well, ranking 64th nationally, with 67.6 points allowed per game. So far, the California-San Diego defense is giving up an average of 8.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 8.9 times per game (362nd).

Will the Matadors Secure A Victory as Home Underdogs?

CSUN is coming off a 89-64 loss to UC Irvine, and they have lost three straight at home. Over their last 10 games at home, they are 5-5.

For the season, the Matadors are 7-6 at home, and they have gone 9-9 in Big West play. Overall, they are 18-12, and they have gone 9-3 in non-conference action.

CSUN has been solid against the spread this season, going 20-8. Their ATS record at home is 8-5 and their mark as the underdog is 11-5. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Matadors are 5-5 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for CSUN games is 12-15-1 and today’s line of 148.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (149.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points, which is lower than today’s OU line of 148.5. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.

Against UC Irvine, the CSUN had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 75.2 points per game. They scored 64 points and posted a field goal percentage of 35% in the game. Leading the team in scoring was Dionte Bostick with 20 points. Gianni Hunt also added 17 points for the Matadors.

Currently, the Matadors’ defense holds the 199th rank in the nation, allowing 73.1 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, CSUN’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.0% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.4% this season.