Looking to win big? The Tritons and Mustangs face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The Mustangs are hosting the game at Mott Athletics Center in San Luis Obispo, CA. The Tritons come into this Big West conference matchup as the betting favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 133.5 points.
CALIFORNIA-SAN DIEGO TRITONS VS CAL POLY MUSTANGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs +10
This game will be played at Mott Athletics Center at 10:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.
WHY BET THE CAL POLY MUSTANGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 88-59 in favor of the Mustangs.
- Not only will Cal Poly pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +10.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 133.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.
Can the Tritons Grab a Win in San Luis Obispo?
California-San Diego comes into this one with a 10-6 overall record and a four-game win streak. So far, the Tritons have gone 4-0 in Big West play compared to a 6-6 non-conference record.
On the road, California-San Diego has gone 3-4 this season, including a +1.0 average scoring margin. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 4-6.
California-San Diego has been solid against the spread this season, going 10-4. They are 4-3 vs. the spread on the road this year and have gone 6-1 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tritons have an 8-2 ATS record.
Today’s over/under line of 133.5 for the California-San Diego Tritons’ game against Cal Poly is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (144). Their over/under record this year is 5-8-1. So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.
California-San Diego is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 88 points versus Long Beach State. This output is higher than their season-average of 77.3 points per game. In terms of offense, the Tritons have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, putting them 144th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 154th in percentage and 43rd in three-pointers made.
The Tritons’ defense is presently ranked 93rd nationally, allowing an average of 67.9 points per contest. California-San Diego’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Long Beach State offense to knock down 49% of their shots on their way to putting up 74 points.
Will the Mustangs Pull Through as the Home Underdog?
Cal Poly enters this game as a 10-point underdog, and they have gone 3-13 this season when they are the underdog. So far, the Mustangs have gone 2-4 at home, and they have lost three straight games at home.
Overall, Cal Poly has gone 4-13 this season, and they are currently on a five-game losing streak. In Big West play, they are 0-5, and they have gone 4-8 in non-conference games.
As the underdog, Cal Poly has gone 7-9 against the spread this season. At home, their ATS mark is 3-3 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are 3-7 vs. the spread.
Cal Poly’s over/under record this season sits at 7-8-1 and today’s line of 133.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this year (135.7). So far, 10 of their games have finished with less points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 136 points.
The Cal Poly offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 56 points versus UC Riverside. During the game, they attempted 14 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 42%. Tuukka Jaakkola was the leading scorer for the Mustangs, putting up 15 points. In addition, Quentin Jones contributed 9 points.
Coming into today’s game, the Cal Poly defense is giving up an average of 72.9 points per contest. Cal Poly’s three-point defense is currently 66th in the country at 6.0 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.9% of their shots vs. Cal Poly.