Looking to win big? The Lancers and Mavericks face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Mavericks are hosting the game at College Park Center in Arlington, TX. The odds for this Western Athletic conference game currently have UT Arlington as the -6.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 142.5 points.


The Pick: UT Arlington Mavericks -6.5

This game will be played at College Park Center at 8:00 ET on Thursday, March 7th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-69 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Not only will UT Arlington pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 142.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.

Can The Lancers Secure a Win at Arlington?

California Baptist comes into this game as a 6.5-point underdog. So far, they have gone 2-7 as the underdog this season. For the year, they have a record of 15-14. On the road, they are 4-8, and their average scoring margin on the road is -2.6 points per game. Their last game was a win over Texas-Rio Grande Valley by a score of 88-52.

Over their last 10 games, the Lancers have gone 3-7 on the road. They have lost their last four road games and are 1-4 in their last five away from home. For the season, they have gone 7-5 in non-conference games compared to 8-9 in Western Athletic Conference games.

As the underdog this season, California Baptist has gone 4-5 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark sits at 5-7. In their last 10 games as the underdog, the Lancers have gone 4-6 vs. the spread.

Over their 29 games this season, the over/under record for California Baptist is 13-13. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 135.4 points compared to an average over/under line of 137.3, resulting in an average margin of -1.9. Today’s over/under line of 142.5 is higher than the average scoring total in their games this season. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 136 points.

Coming off their recent game, the California Baptist offense tallied 88 points in a matchup against Texas-Rio Grande Valley. Their field goal percentage for the game was 54.4%, and they made 10 threes. Leading California Baptist in scoring vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley was Scotty Washington with his 20 points. Blondeau Tchoukuiegno also added 19 points for the Lancers.

Currently, the Lancers’ defense holds the 34th rank in the nation, allowing 66.0 points per game. The California Baptist defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 52 points and allowed Texas-Rio Grande Valley to connect on 10 threes.

Will the Mavericks Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

UT Arlington has been a much better team at home this season, going 9-3 compared to 6-10 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +6.5, and they have won their last two games at home.

UT Arlington has won five games in a row, and they are 12-3 this season when favored. Their record in the Western Athletic Conference is 12-7, and they are coming off a 78-65 win over Utah Valley.

UT Arlington has an overall ATS record of 20-8 this season, including an 8-4 mark at home. Over their last three home games, the Mavericks are 1-2 vs. the spread and 6-3 in their last 10 home games. As the favorite, UTA is 11-4 vs. the spread this year and 7-3 in their last 10 games as the favorite.

Today’s over/under line of 142.5 is lower than the average over/under line in UT Arlington’s games this season (146.3). Currently, their over/under record is 17-11. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 151 points compared to their season average of 149.5 points per game.

The UT Arlington offense is coming off a game in which they scored 78 points vs. Utah Valley. Overall their field goal percentage was 41.8% while connecting on 10 threes. Phillip Russell led the team in scoring, putting up 20 points. Additionally, Dajuan Gordon contributed 17 points for the Mavericks.

Coming into today’s game, the UT Arlington defense is giving up an average of 72.8 points per contest. Against Utah Valley, the Mavericks’ defense gave up 65 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Utah Valley only made 9 free-throws.