Looking to win big? The Titans and Mustangs face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The Mustangs are hosting the game at Mott Athletics Center in San Luis Obispo, CA. Cal State Fullerton come into this Big West conference matchup as the -5.5 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 129.5 points.


The Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs +5.5

This game will be played at Mott Athletics Center at 10:00 ET on Thursday, January 25th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Mustangs.
  • Not only will Cal Poly pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 129.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Can the Titans Offense Score Enough in San Luis Obispo?

Cal State Fullerton is 9-10 overall and 2-5 in Big West action. They have gone 7-5 in non-conference games and are 5-7 on the road. The Titans have been favored in two games this season and have gone 2-0.

Coming off a 73-69 win over UC Santa Barbara, Cal State Fullerton is 5-5 in their last 10 road games. On the year, they have been outscored by an average of 8.4 points per game on the road.

When looking at Cal State Fullerton’s ATS record this season, they are currently 8-9. On the road, they have gone 7-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Titans are 5-5. In their last three road games, they have gone 2-1 vs. the spread.

Cal State Fullerton’s over/under record for the season is 9-8, and the average scoring total in their games is 136.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 129.5 is lower than the average OU line of 138 points in their games this season. So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line, and in their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

Cal State Fullerton recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 73 points against UC Santa Barbara. This output exceeded their season average of 67.5 points per game. On the offensive front, the Titans have a season-long field goal percentage of 42%, ranking 313rd nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 252nd in terms of percentage and 308th in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Titans’ defense holds the 98th rank in the nation, allowing 69.1 points per game. So far, the Cal State Fullerton defense is giving up an average of 8.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.6 times per game (628th).

Will the Mustangs Secure A Victory as Home Underdogs?

Cal Poly comes into this game as a 5.5-point underdog. They have a record of 4-15, including a 0-7 mark in Big West play. The Mustangs have lost seven games in a row, and they are 1-10 on the road this season.

At home, Cal Poly is 2-5, and they have lost four straight games. Over their last 10 games at home, they are 3-7. So far this season, they have been the underdog in 18 of their 19 games, going 3-15.

Cal Poly has an overall ATS record of 7-11 this season and they are 3-4 ATS at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Mustangs have gone just 2-8 vs. the spread. In their last 3 games at home, Cal Poly is 1-2 ATS.

The over/under record for Cal Poly games this season is 8-9-1, and today’s line of 129.5 is similar to the average over/under line of 134.9 in their games. So far, 15 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 130 points.

In their recent matchup, the Cal Poly offense ended with 53 points against Bakersfield. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 35.2% and made 6 threes. Leading Cal Poly in scoring vs. Bakersfield was Quentin Jones with his 16 points. Kobe Sanders also added 10 points for the Mustangs.

At this time, the Mustangs’ defense is positioned 196th in the country, permitting 73.2 points per game. Cal Poly’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Bakersfield offense to knock down 48% of their shots on their way to putting up 65 points.