Looking to win big? The Mustangs and Anteaters face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The Anteaters are hosting the game at Bren Events Center in Irvine, CA. The over/under for this Big West conference contest is set at 137.5 points, with UC Irvine being favored by -22.5 at home against Cal Poly.


The Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs +22.5

This game will be played at Bren Events Center at 10:00 ET on Thursday, March 7th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Anteaters.
  • Even though we have UC Irvine winning straight-up, we like Cal Poly at +22.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Mustangs Make it Happen on the Road?

Cal Poly is looking to snap their 18-game losing streak when they take on UC Irvine. The Mustangs have gone 0-18 in Big West play and 4-26 overall. They are 1-15 on the road this season, with an average scoring margin of -13.7 points per game.

Cal Poly’s last win came on December 9th, when they defeated San Jose State 77-66. Since then, they have gone 0-26, including a 68-56 loss to Bakersfield in their most recent game. The Mustangs are averaging just 60.7 points per game this season.

Cal Poly’s ATS record this season is 13-16. On the road, their ATS mark is 7-9, and over their last 10 road games, they are 4-6 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Mustangs have gone 13-16 this year and are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games as the underdog.

Cal Poly’s over/under record this season sits at 14-13-2, and today’s over/under line of 137.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (134.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 147 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 6-3-1.

In their most recent game, the Cal Poly offense concluded with only 56 points against Bakersfield. Throughout the game, they made 4/15 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 38.3%. Kobe Sanders led the team in scoring, putting up 24 points. Additionally, Justin Page contributed 9 points for the Mustangs.

Cal Poly’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 73.2 points per game. In their previous game vs. Bakersfield, the Roadrunners finished with a field goal percentage of 38% and a total of 68 points vs. Cal Poly.

Can UC Irvine Secure a Home Victory?

UC Irvine is favored by 22.5 points in tonight’s game against Cal Poly. The Anteaters come into this game with a 22-8 overall record, including a perfect 14-0 mark at home. They have won their last four games and are 15-2 in Big West Conference play.

So far this season, UC Irvine has been favored in 23 of their 30 games, going 20-3 in those contests. Their average scoring margin at home is +13.9, and they have won their last 14 games at home.

When looking at UC Irvine’s ATS record this season, they sit at 18-10. At home, their ATS mark is 9-5. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Anteaters are 7-3 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for UC Irvine games is 13-13-2 and today’s line of 137.5 is lower than the average over/under line of 142.2 in their games. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 158 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 6-3-1.

In their recent matchup, the UC Irvine offense ended with 82 points against Long Beach State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 48.4% and made 7 threes. Justin Hohn led the scoring for the Anteaters, contributing 13 points. Additionally, Pierre Crockrell II chipped in with 12 points.

Currently, the Anteaters’ defense holds the 56th rank in the nation, allowing 67.2 points per game. So far, the UC Irvine defense is giving up an average of 8.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.2 times per game (537th).