The Mustangs and Tommies are set to face off at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. The Tommies will host the game at Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center in Riverside, CA. The odds for this non-conference game currently have the Tommies as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 131.5 points.

CAL POLY MUSTANGS VS ST. THOMAS (MN) TOMMIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs +7

This game will be played at Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center at 7:30 ET on Friday, November 17th.

WHY BET THE CAL POLY MUSTANGS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 83-64 in favor of the Mustangs.
  • Not only will Cal Poly pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +7.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 131.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.

Can the Cal Poly Offense Score Enough on the Road?

Today, Cal Poly will be playing their third game of the season, having lost their first two. In their previous three games where they were the underdogs, Cal Poly has yet to win. As Cal Poly enters today’s game, their ATS record stands at 0-2. Over the past three games, including today’s matchup, Cal Poly has a 1-1 ATS record with an average scoring margin of -2.

So far, Cal Poly’s games have averaged 159.5 points per game with the average over/under line being 138.5 points. In their most recent three games, the Mustangs’ over/under record is 2-0, with their games averaging 74 points per game.

The Cal Poly offense is coming off a game in which they scored 66 points vs. Wyoming. Overall their field goal percentage was 40.7% while connecting on 4 threes. Leading Cal Poly in scoring vs. Wyoming was Jarred Hyder with his 25 points. Kobe Sanders also added 14 points for the Mustangs.

The Mustangs’ defense is presently ranked 114th nationally, allowing an average of 79.7 points per contest. Against Wyoming in their most recent game, the Cal Poly defense gave up a total of 80 points while allowing Wyoming to hit 52% of their shots.

Can St. Thomas (MN) Pull Off a Home Win?

Today, St. Thomas (MN) will be playing their third game of the season against Cal Poly. In their previous two games as the favorite, St. Thomas (MN) has a record of 2-1. St. Thomas (MN) has a current record of 0-2 against the spread. In their previous three games, they have gone 1-1 ATS with an average scoring difference of +17.

St. Thomas (MN) comes in with an over/under record of 0-2-0 through two games, with their games averaging a combined 122 points per game so far. The Tommies’ have recorded an over/under record of 1-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 78 points per game.

Against Idaho State, the St. Thomas (MN) had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 73.3 points per game. They scored 54 points and posted a field goal percentage of 38.9% in the game. Leading the team in scoring was Parker Bjorklund with 21 points. Raheem Anthony also added 19 points for the Tommies.

The Tommies’ defense is presently ranked 24th nationally, allowing an average of 59.3 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, St. Thomas (MN)’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 27.0% this season.