The Cal Poly Mustangs (8-16, 3-7 BigWst) travel to The Walter Pyramid to square off against the Long Beach State 49ers (12-14, 6-4 BigWst). The Mustangs are 9.5-point underdogs and look to snap a 10-game road losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 151.5 points and action begins at 11 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 10, 2018.
Cal Poly Mustangs at Long Beach State 49ers Betting Odds
Both teams fell in their last contest. The 49ers lost a tough one against the UC Davis Aggies, 105-104, while the Mustangs were beaten by the Cal State Fullerton Titans, 75-59.
Cal Poly had a better offensive rebounding percentage (25.7 vs. 26.9) while Long Beach State held UC Davis to an offensive rebounding percentage of 22.5 (below the 31.7 mark opponents have averaged against Long Beach State this season). Long Beach State’s Gabe Levin had a good outing, finishing with 45 points and nine rebounds. Meanwhile, Cal Poly was led by Donovan Fields, who recorded 15 points and eight assists.
It will be a matchup of conflicting styles as the up-tempo 49ers (ranked 50th in the NCAA in possessions per game) will look to push the more grind-it-out Mustangs (282nd in possessions per game).
Games featuring the Mustangs have typically finished over the total (66.7 percent). Cal Poly holds records of 8-16 straight up (SU) and 7-13-1 against the spread (ATS).
Similarly to Cal Poly, games involving the 49ers also have a tendency to finish over the total (58.3 percent). Further, Long Beach State is 12-14 SU and 11-13 ATS.
Levin has taken his game to another level recently for Long Beach State, averaging 19.2 points and 6.4 rebounds over the last five games.
In their first matchup this year, Levin led the 49ers to an 87-71 win. He was the game’s leading scorer with 21 points. The two teams combined for 158 points, which was over the projected point total of 150. Long Beach State won the rebounding battle. The 49ers had 16 offensive rebounds and 44 total rebounds, while the Mustangs had four and 29, respectively.
Cal Poly Mustangs at Long Beach State 49ers ATS Pick
Free College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Long Beach State, ATS Winner – Cal Poly, O/U – Over
Cal Poly ranks 112th in three pointers attempted per game (23.2) while Long Beach State ranks 281st (17.1).
The 49ers average 3.8 blocks per game, which ranks 77th in the NCAA. The Mustangs rank 139th in blocks allowed per game (3.8).
Cal Poly averages 5.3 steals per game, which ranks 180th in the nation. Long Beach State ranks 216th in steals allowed per game (8.0).
The 49ers rank 131st in rebounds per game (35.8) while the Mustangs rank 256th (32.5).
Cal Poly ranks 149th in assists allowed per game (13.7) while Long Beach State ranks 241st (15.8).
Cal Poly is 4-8-1 ATS on the road, while Long Beach State is 3-5 ATS at home.
The total has gone over in 5 of the 49ers’ 8 home games, while 6 of the Mustangs’ 13 road games have gone over.
The 49ers are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Mustangs are 1-4.
In their last five games, Long Beach State has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Cal Poly has 4 overs and 1 under.
The 49ers have outscored opponents by an average of 4.0 points in their last five games. For the season, Long Beach State has lost by an average of 4.1 points.
During their last five games, the Mustangs have scored an average of 67.0 points per game (0.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 74.8 points per game (2.2 above their season average).