Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Mustangs and Matadors. The game is starting at 10:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Matadors at Premier America Credit Union in Northridge, CA. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this game is set at 141 points, and CSUN is favored by -9 vs. Cal Poly in a Big West conference matchup.


The Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs +9

This game will be played at Premier America Credit Union at 10:00 ET on Thursday, February 8th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Matadors.
  • Even though we have CSUN winning straight-up, we like Cal Poly at +9.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 141 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Mustangs Win in Northridge?

Cal Poly enters this game as a 9-point underdog, and they have been an underdog in 22 of their 23 games this season. Their record as an underdog is 3-19, and they have lost 11 games in a row.

On the road, the Mustangs are 1-11 this season, and they have lost their last nine games away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road is -14.2 points per game.

As the underdog, Cal Poly has an ATS record of 10-12 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-7 and they have gone 1-2 vs. the spread in their last three road games. Overall, the Mustangs are just 4-6 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.

Cal Poly’s over/under record for the season sits at 9-11-2, and the average scoring total in their games is 134.4. So far, 18 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 141, and their average over/under line this year is 134. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 132 points.

In their latest game, Cal Poly offense put up 52 points against UC Davis. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 34% and made 6 threes. Offensively, the Mustangs have a season long field goal percentage of 40%, which is 383rd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 319th in percentage and 333rd in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Mustangs’ defense is positioned 175th in the country, permitting 72.1 points per game. Against UC Davis in their most recent game, the Cal Poly defense gave up a total of 59 points while allowing UC Davis to hit 34% of their shots.

Will CSUN Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

CSUN comes into this matchup with a 14-9 record, including a 5-6 mark in Big West play. They have gone 6-3 at home this season, and they are 7-3 in their last 10 games at home.

On the year, the Matadors have been favored 10 times, going 7-3 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin at home is +3.1 points per game.

Against the spread, CSUN has a record of 15-6 this season. At home, they are 6-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Matadors have gone 7-3 vs. the spread. In their last 3 home games, CSUN is 1-2 vs. the spread.

CSUN’s over/under record this season is 8-12-1 and today’s line of 141 is lower than the average OU line of 148.9 in their games. Their last three games have had an average scoring total of 146 points and their last five games have averaged 140 points per contest.

The Matadors’ offense wrapped up their last game with 76 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 76.3 points per contest. The team’s scoring leader is De’Sean Allen-Eikens, who holds an average of 18 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Dionte Bostick is averaging 13.9 points per game this season.

CSUN’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 73.1 points per game. In their previous game vs. UC Riverside, the Highlanders finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 70 points vs. CSUN.