Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Mustangs and Titans. The game is starting at 10:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Titans at Titan Gym in Fullerton, CA. Get ready to place your bets! The odds for this Big West conference game currently have Cal State Fullerton as the -9.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 131 points.


The Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs +9.5

This game will be played at Titan Gym at 10:00 ET on Thursday, February 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-69 in favor of the Titans.
  • Even though we have Cal State Fullerton winning straight-up, we like Cal Poly at +9.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 131 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Can Cal Poly Stun the Crowd at Titan Gym?

Cal Poly comes into their 27th game of the season with an overall record of 4-22. On the road, the Mustangs have a record of 1-13, while they are 2-9 this year. As of today’s game, Cal Poly holds an 11-14 ATS record. When playing away, the Mustangs are 6-8 vs. the spread, while at home they are 5-6 ATS.

Cal Poly’s games have, on average, featured 135 points per game leading to an over/under record of 12-11-2. Their average over/under line is currently 134.6 points so far. In the Mustangs’ last five games, the combined scoring average stands at 132 points per game, accompanied by an over/under record of 3-1-1.

Coming off their recent game, the Cal Poly offense tallied 51 points in a matchup against Hawaii. Their field goal percentage for the game was 27.6%, and they made 4 threes. Quentin Jones was the leading scorer for the Mustangs, putting up 11 points. In addition, Tuukka Jaakkola contributed 10 points.

In terms of defense, Cal Poly is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 72.8 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Cal Poly’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 46.0% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.3% this season.

Pressure Builds for Cal State Fullerton as Home Favorites

Cal State Fullerton comes into the game against Cal Poly with a record of 11-15. When playing away from home, the Titans have a record of 6-10, while they are 3-5 when playing at home. Cal State Fullerton has a subpar ATS performance with a record of 11-13. In their last five games, they are 2-3 vs. the spread.

In 26 games, Cal State Fullerton comes in with an over/under mark of 13-11-0, with their games averaging 135.6 points per game. The Titans’ last five games have finished with a combined 142 points per game and an over/under record of 4-1.

In their latest game, Cal State Fullerton offense put up 69 points against California-San Diego. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 48.2% and made 8 threes. In terms of offense, the Titans have a season-long field goal percentage of 42%, putting them 320th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 301st in percentage and 303rd in three-pointers made.

At present, the Titans’ defense is nationally ranked 95th, allowing 68.9 points per game. So far, the Cal State Fullerton defense is giving up an average of 8.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.3 times per game (634th).