At 4:25 ET , the Bills and Eagles square off at Lincoln Financial Field in a week 12 NFL matchup. TV coverage belongs to CBS with the game being played on Sunday, November 26th. This non-conference game sees the Eagles as 3.5 point favorites to come out with a win. Are they the best pick on the spread, or could the Bills provide better value? Continue reading to find out.


The Pick: Buffalo Bills +3.5

This game will be played at Lincoln Financial Field at 4:25 ET on Sunday, November 26th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 28-27 in favor of the Eagles.
  • Our projections have Jalen Hurts finishing with 293.487 passing yards on 22.438/36.795 passing.
  • The Eagles are projected to finish with 382 yards of offense compared to the 382 yards for the Bills.

Does Buffalo Have a Shot at a Road Win?

As we enter week 12, Buffalo is in 2nd place in the AFC-East with an overall record of 6-5. In the AFC, they are currently in 8th place. This season, the Bills find themselves above .500 versus the spread with a record of 4-7. Their average scoring margin for this season stands at +9.5.

Buffalo has had no problem scoring on the road this season, ranking 6th in the NFL in road scoring. Overall, their average of 26.7 points per contest is 7th in the league. Heading into week 12, Buffalo ranks 14th in passing attempts and is averaging 7.3 yards per attempt (5). With 254.5 passing yards per game, they hold the 7th spot in the league.

Looking at their ground game, the Bills have been carrying the ball an average of 26.5 times per game and are 11th in rushing yards. They have an average of 4.3 yards per rushing attempt.

Buffalo is 4th in points allowed defensively. So far, their opponents are putting up an average of 17.3 points per game, accumulating 314.6 yards per contest.

Can Philadelphia Pull Off a Home Win?

The Eagles come into their matchup against the Bills with a 9-1 record. In the NFC-East, they are 1st and 1st in NFC overall standings. The Eagles have a 6-2-2 ATS record so far. As we enter week 12, their scoring margin per game is +6.1.

On offense, the Eagles are at 27.3 points per game, putting them 5th in the NFL. Philadelphia’s passing attack comes in to this week’s game ranked 12th in passing yards. In addition, they are 21st in attempts, throwing the ball an average of 32.7 times per game.

At 128.1 rushing yards per game, the Eagles are 8th in the NFL. This figure has come on an average of 31.7 attempts (3rd).

The Philadelphia defense has 13 takeaways this season, positioning them 7th in the NFL. Overall, they are at 21.2 points per game allowed and giving up an average of 324.6 yards.