Looking to win big? The Bears and Bulldogs face off at 12:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bulldogs are hosting the game at John J. Lee Amphitheater in New Haven, CT. This Ivy League conference matchup has an over/under of 139.5 points, and Yale is favored to win by -12 at home vs. Brown.


The Pick: Brown Bears +12

This game will be played at John J. Lee Amphitheater at 12:00 ET on Saturday, March 9th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Bulldogs.
  • Even though we have Yale winning straight-up, we like Brown at +12.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 139.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Taking a Look at the Bears Chances on the Road

Coming into this game, Brown has won four straight games, and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 road games. On the season, the Bears are 6-10 on the road, and they are 5-12 as the underdog.

Last time out, Brown beat Dartmouth by a score of 89-67. Through 28 games, they have gone 11-17, and they have gone 6-6 in Ivy League play.

As the underdog this season, Brown has an ATS record of 11-6. Over their last three games as the underdog, the Bears are 3-0 and have gone 7-3 in their last 10. On the road, Brown has an ATS record of 10-6 this year and is 6-4 in their last 10.

This season, the over/under record for Brown is 13-13 and today’s over/under line of 139.5 is right in line with the season-long average over/under line in their games of 142.2. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points compared to their season average of 142.2 points per game.

In their recent matchup, the Brown offense ended with 89 points against Dartmouth. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 56.7% and made 16 threes. Leading Brown in scoring vs. Dartmouth was Kimo Ferrari with his 39 points. Nana Owusu-Anane also added 13 points for the Bears.

Coming into today’s game, the Brown defense is giving up an average of 71.5 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.0 threes per game vs. Yale. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.7%.

Do the Bulldogs Have What it Takes at Home?

Yale enters this game as the favorite, as they have been in 19 of their 28 games this season. Their record as the favorite is 16-3, and they have gone 8-1 at home.

The Bulldogs have been dominant at home this season, going 8-1 with an average scoring margin of +12.1 points per game. Their last three games at home have resulted in wins, and they are 9-1 in their last 10 games at home. Overall, Yale has won three straight games and has a record of 20-8.

Yale has been a solid bet against the spread this season, going 15-9-2. At home, they are 6-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bulldogs have gone 9-1 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 139.5 is lower than the season average of 142.3 for Yale games. So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average of 145 points per game.

The Bulldogs’ offense finished with 80 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 75.6 points per contest. In terms of offense, the Bulldogs have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, putting them 84th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 156th in percentage and 214th in three-pointers made.

This season, the Yale defense has been impressive, holding the 42nd position in the country while permitting an average of 66.5 points per contest. Yale’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Harvard offense to knock down 51% of their shots on their way to putting up 60 points.