Brooklyn Nets vs. Phoenix Suns Free Pick 11/10/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-11-10

The Phoenix Suns (5-3) will be at home in Talking Stick Resort Arena when they meet the Brooklyn Nets (4-4). Phoenix is a 2-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 233 points. Action gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 10, 2019, and it can be seen on YES Network.

Brooklyn Nets at Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

In the Nets’ last matchup, they beat the Portland Trail Blazers, 119-115, despite being 3.5-point underdogs. Spencer Dinwiddie led Brooklyn in scoring with 34 points on 11-for-18 shooting. Brooklyn dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a great offensive rebounding percentage of 31.4 (above their season average of 25.7) and a turnover percentage of 7.4 (better than their season average of 15.6). Portland was 27.1 and 8.5, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to put up 234 points, which finished under the projected point total of 240.5.

The Suns were unable to cover as 1.5-point favorites in their 124-108 loss to the Miami Heat in their last matchup. With 11 points, 11 rebounds and six assists, Phoenix’s Ricky Rubio played well. Miami made 15 of their 28 three pointers (53.6 percent). Phoenix, meanwhile, held the Heat to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.3 (below their season average of 21.9). The two squads collectively scored 232 points, which came in over the O/U total of 220.5.

It could be an error-filled game for the Brooklyn offense. Dating back to last season, Brooklyn ranks 18th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.0 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Phoenix has forced the fifth-most turnovers in the league (14.9 percent).

Of Brooklyn’s 8 games, four have finished over the projected point total, while 5 of Phoenix’s 8 games have finished under the O/U total. The Suns come into this game with considerably better straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS, while the Nets are 4-4 SU and 3-5 ATS.

The Nets won both matchups against the Suns last season. In the most recent matchup, Brooklyn won 111-103. The Nets played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.247 and a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 31.1. The Suns had marks of 0.157 and 22.2, respectively, for those same stats.

Nets at Suns Free Prediction

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

The Nets average 13.9 second chance points per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Suns rank 26th in second chance points allowed per game (15.2).

Phoenix averages 5.0 blocks per game, which ranks 15th in the NBA. Brooklyn ranks 20th in blocks allowed per game (5.3).

Phoenix averages 49.8 points in the paint per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. Brooklyn ranks 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (51.5).

When allowing less than 100 points, Brooklyn is 13-1 and Phoenix is 6-2.

The Suns are 23-43 when they reach 100 points, while the Nets are 46-36.

The Suns rank seventh in points off turnovers per game (18.5) while the Nets rank 19th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.6).

Brooklyn ranks sixth in rebounds per game (46.5) while Phoenix ranks last (40.6).

The Suns rank third in steals per game (8.9) while the Nets rank 23rd (6.7).

The Suns rank third in three pointers allowed per game (29.8) while the Nets rank seventh (30.4).

Brooklyn ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (11.8) while Phoenix ranks 23rd (15.6).

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