The Los Angeles Lakers (49-13) will try to continue a six-game home winning streak when they take on the Brooklyn Nets (29-34) at Staples Center. Los Angeles is an 11.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 223.5 points. Action starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 10, 2020, and it can be seen on YES Network.
Brooklyn Nets vs. Los Angeles Lakers ATS Preview
The last time the Nets played, they won a close one over the Chicago Bulls, 110-107, but were unable to cover as 6-point favorites. With 11 points and 15 rebounds, Brooklyn’s DeAndre Jordan put together a solid outing. Brooklyn dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a phenomenal free throw rate of 0.547 (above their season average of 0.196) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.1 (below their season average of 23.6). Chicago put up marks of 0.185 and 10.0, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to score 217 points, which came in just under the O/U total of 219.
The Lakers will look to maintain momentum after defeating the Los Angeles Clippers in their last matchup, 112-103, as 2.5-point underdogs. Los Angeles received a boost from LeBron James, who finished with 28 points, nine assists and seven rebounds. The Lakers forced 15 turnovers and held the Clippers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.436 (below their season average of 0.532). The two squads collectively scored 215 points, which was under the projected point total of 226.5.
These two teams have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined for 241 points, which was over the projected point total of 230. The Lakers won 128-113, covering as 5.5-point favorites. The Lakers dominated every facet of the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.0 and a free throw rate of 0.160. The Nets were 16.3 and 0.132, respectively, for those same stats. James played a huge role in the victory, recording a triple-double with 27 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists.
Of Brooklyn’s 63 games, 31 have finished under the O/U total, while 33 of Los Angeles’ 62 games have finished under the projected point total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Lakers have a significant advantage. They are 49-13 SU and 35-26-1 ATS, while the Nets are 29-34 SU and 30-31-2 ATS.
Looking at effective field goal percentage, this appears to be a matchup of two heavyweights. The upper-echelon Los Angeles offense ranks fifth in the NBA in that metric at 0.548, while the stingy Brooklyn defense is ranked fourth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.506). It could also be a mistake-prone game for the offense of the Nets, which ranks 24th in ball security (turnover percentage of 14.2 percent). They’ll be going up against the top-notch defense of the Lakers, which forces the fifth-most turnovers in the league (14.6 percent).
Brooklyn Nets at Los Angeles Lakers Free Prediction
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Lakers, O/U – Under
The Lakers rank third in rebounds allowed per game (42.2) while the Nets rank 22nd (46.0).
Brooklyn ranks 13th in fast break points allowed per game (13.2) while Los Angeles ranks 28th (16.8).
Brooklyn ranks fifth in three pointers attempted per game (37.8) while Los Angeles ranks 23rd (31.3).
Brooklyn ranks third in assists allowed per game (22.4) while Los Angeles ranks seventh (23.2).
Los Angeles is 17-12-1 ATS at home, while Brooklyn is 13-16-2 ATS on the road.
The Nets have 15 overs, 15 unders and 1 push in 31 road games.
The Lakers have 17 unders and 13 overs in 30 home games.
When allowing less than 100 points, Los Angeles is 16-0 and Brooklyn is 8-1.
The Lakers are 45-11 when they score over 100 points, while the Nets are 29-26.
The Lakers rank third in second chance points per game (14.4) while the Nets rank 18th in second chance points allowed per game (13.2).
Los Angeles ranks third in points off turnovers per game (18.9) while Brooklyn ranks 27th (14.6).
The Lakers rank fourth in steals per game (8.6) while the Nets rank 26th (6.4).
The Lakers average 53.5 points in the paint per game, which ranks second in the NBA. The Nets rank 11th in points allowed in the paint per game (46.6).
Los Angeles ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.7) while Brooklyn ranks 22nd (5.4).
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in its last five games.
Over its past five outings, Brooklyn is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Lakers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.6, down from 7.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 114.0 points per game (3.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.2 points per game (4.6 above their season average).