The Atlanta Hawks (17-43) will be at home in State Farm Arena when they go head-to-head with the Brooklyn Nets (26-31). Action begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, February 28, 2020, and it can be seen on YES Network.
Brooklyn Nets vs. Atlanta Hawks ATS Preview
The Nets were beaten by the Washington Wizards in their last contest, 110-106, despite being 1.5-point favorites. With 34 points on 10-for-20 shooting, Caris LeVert was the game’s leading scorer. Washington had a much better turnover percentage (9.6 vs. 15.0). Brooklyn, on the other hand, had a free throw rate of 0.276 (above their season average of 0.193). The two teams combined to score 216 points, which finished well under the O/U total of 232.5.
In the Hawks’ last game, they were beaten by the Orlando Magic, 130-120, and failed to cover as 3-point underdogs. Trae Young was the game’s high scorer with 37 points on 10-for-27 shooting. Orlando had an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.3 (above their season average of 22.1). Atlanta, meanwhile, did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (23-25; 92.0 percent). Combined, the two clubs scored 250 points, which was well over the O/U total of 230.5.
The offense of Atlanta (27th in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 103.9) will square off against the elite defense of Brooklyn (seventh in the league with a defensive efficiency of 105.9). The Nets figure to have the edge on that side of the ball.
Of Brooklyn’s 57 games, 29 have finished under the projected point total, while 35 of Atlanta’s 60 games have finished over the projected point total. The Nets have the significant advantage straight up (SU) (26-31 vs. 17-43) and a narrow edge against the spread (ATS) (27-28-2 vs. 27-32-1).
These two teams have already met three times this year, with the Nets winning all three. In the most recent contest, the Hawks lost 108-86, unable to cover as 9-point underdogs. Cam Reddish put up 20 points and five steals. The two teams combined for 194 points, which was 31.5 points below the projected point total of 225.5 points. The Nets dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 19.4 and a free throw rate of 0.208. The Hawks were 6.8 and 0.103, respectively, for those same stats.
Nets vs. Hawks ATS Prediction
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Under
The Nets rank second in assists allowed per game (22.1) while the Hawks rank 19th (24.8).
Brooklyn ranks 19th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.2) while Atlanta ranks 29th (19.7).
Brooklyn ranks 15th in steals allowed per game (7.8) while Atlanta ranks 27th (8.9).
Brooklyn averages 13.2 fast break points per game, which ranks 15th in the league. Atlanta ranks 22nd in fast break points allowed per game (14.4).
Atlanta is 17-11-1 ATS at home, while Brooklyn is 11-15-2 ATS on the road.
The total has gone over in 16 of the Hawks’ 29 home games, while 15 of the Nets’ 28 road games have gone under.
In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Atlanta is 4-0 and Brooklyn is 8-1.
The Nets are 26-24 when they score above 100 points, while the Hawks are 17-36.
The Hawks rank 11th in blocks per game (5.2) while the Nets rank 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.5).
Brooklyn ranks second in rebounds per game (48.5) while Atlanta ranks 28th in rebounds allowed per game (47.2).
The Nets rank fifth in points in the paint per game (49.9) while the Hawks rank 28th in points allowed in the paint per game (54.0).
The Hawks rank eighth in three pointers attempted per game (35.6) while the Nets rank 17th in three pointers allowed per game (34.0).
Brooklyn averages 13.8 second chance points per game, which ranks ninth in the league. Atlanta ranks 28th in second chance points allowed per game (15.1).
Atlanta is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Across its last five games, Brooklyn is 2-2-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.0, down from 8.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 107.8 points per game (2.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 102.8 points per game (7.8 below their season average).