Denver Broncos at Houston Texans: Preview and Pick

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The Denver Broncos are arguably the best team in the AFC this season and this week they will go against the worst team in the AFC in the Houston Texans. The Broncos failed a week ago to get one step closer to securing home field advantage when they lost to the San Diego Chargers on Thursday night football. With the New England Patriots and the Cincinnati Bengals both losing, the Broncos still have a chance to get home field advantage but they will have to beat the Texans first.

Denver Broncos at Houston Texans Preview

The NFL odds for this game opened up with the Broncos listed as (-9.5) point favorites. The Broncos are getting almost all of the early betting action as they are getting over 80 percent of the early wagers coming in at the betting window. This early action shoved the point spread past the key number and the line has recently been moved to (-10.5) at several of the top rated online sportsbooks.

The Texans would love to play spoilers in this spot. As the Chargers showed Thursday, there might be a formula on how to stop the Peyton Manning and the Broncos offense – keep them on the sideline. Denver ran a season-low 53 plays Thursday, the lowest by the Broncos since Week 6 of last season (52 also against the Chargers). The Broncos 21:11 time of possession was the lowest by an offense with Peyton Manning at the helm since Week 2 of 2009, when the Colts beat the Dolphins on Monday Night Football. The Texans do have the personnel to run the ball and they could upset the Broncos.

The latest football betting trends for this game reveal that although this game is in Houston, all of the trends favor the Broncos. The total has gone over in 6 of Houston’s last 7 games at home and the total has gone over in 5 of Houston’s last 7 games overall. Houston is 0-5 straight up in its last 5 games at home and 1-6 against the spread (ATS) in its last 7 games at home. Denver is 10-2 straight up in its last 12 games on the road and Denver is 21-4 straight up in its last 25 games overall. Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games and they have been losing in blowout fashion.

Denver Broncos at Houston Texans Pick

With plenty of time before kickoff we will wait for more information to come in before we select a side on this contest. Make sure to check the forum during the week and on the day of the game for our free pick and to get the latest and most up to date information on the game.


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Cole Ryan

Cole started off as a part time handicapper and a full time computer programmer. After developing a computer program that consistently provided winners in NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports Cole went into full time handicapping. The computer program and his knack for winners made him a rising star in the handicapping world. His complex computer program based on algorithms and analytical calculations have led to a 60% ATS rate.

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