The Braves and Bears are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bears will host the game at Great Southern Bank Arena in Springfield, MO. In this Missouri Valley matchup, Bradley is favored by -2.5 vs. Missouri State. The over/under for the game is 143 points.


The Pick: Missouri State Bears +2.5

This game will be played at Great Southern Bank Arena at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, February 21st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Bears.
  • Not only will Missouri State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 143 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Braves Find a Way to Win on the Road?

Bradley is the favorite for the 23rd time in 28 games this season. They are 16-6 in those games. The Braves are 18-9 overall and 10-6 in Missouri Valley Conference action. Bradley is 7-6 on the road this season, and their average scoring margin in those games is +1.5. They have lost two straight road games.

Last time out, Bradley lost to Northern Iowa by a score of 74-63. Over their last 10 road games, the Braves are 4-6. For the season, Bradley is 8-3 in non-conference action, and they have a scoring margin of +11.4 at home.

As the favorite this season, Bradley has gone 11-9-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Braves have an ATS mark of 4-6. On the road, Bradley is 6-6-1 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 1-4 ATS over their last 5 road games.

This season, Bradley games have an over/under record of 16-10 and today’s over/under line of 143 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (140.1). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 144 points compared to their season average of 144.7 points per game.

The Bradley offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 63 points versus Northern Iowa. During the game, they attempted 25 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 35.8%. Connor Hickman led the team in scoring, putting up 22 points. Additionally, Malevy Leons contributed 16 points for the Braves.

At present, the Braves’ defense is nationally ranked 86th, allowing 68.3 points per game. In today’s game vs. Missouri State, the Bradley defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Bradley made 24 free-throws vs. the Braves.

Can Missouri State Pull Off a Home Win?

Missouri State is 15-12 overall and 7-9 in Missouri Valley Conference play. They have a 10-4 record at home compared to 4-8 on the road, and they have gone 5-9 as the underdog.

In their last game, the Bears defeated Valparaiso by a score of 82-74. Over their last 10 home games, they have gone 6-4, and their home average scoring margin is +5.0 points per game.

Missouri State has been a solid team vs. the spread at home this season, going 9-5. However, their overall ATS mark is just 13-12-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bears have gone 4-5-1.

Missouri State’s over/under record for the season is 13-13 and the average scoring total in their games is 143.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 143 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this year (141.7). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 151 points.

Missouri State finished with 82 points in their game against Valparaiso. This total surpasses their season-average of 72.2 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Alston Mason, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 18, while Donovan Clay also maintains a PPG average of 13 leading up to the game.

On the defensive side, Missouri State is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 71.4 points per game. Missouri State’s three-point defense is currently 173rd in the country at 7.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.8% of their shots vs. Missouri State.