The Braves and Redbirds are set to face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Redbirds will host the game at CEFCU Arena in Normal, IL. Bradley is favored by -6 in this Missouri Valley conference contest against Illinois State. The game’s over/under currently sits at 133.5 points.


The Pick: Illinois State Redbirds +6

This game will be played at CEFCU Arena at 2:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Redbirds.
  • Not only will Illinois State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +6.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 133.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Is A Road Victory Likely for the Favored Braves?

Bradley has been on a roll lately, winning nine straight games to improve to 16-6 overall. They have been especially strong at home, where they are 9-2 this season. However, they have also been solid on the road, going 6-3.

On the year, the Braves have been favored in 17 of their 22 games, going 14-3 in those contests. Their average scoring margin on the road is +3.2, compared to +13.0 at home.

Bradley’s ATS record this season is 12-6-2, and they are 10-5-2 vs. the spread when favored. On the road, the Braves have gone 5-3-1 vs. the spread this season, and their last 3 road ATS mark is 1-2.

Bradley’s over/under record this season is 14-6 and their games have averaged 143.5 points. Today’s over/under line of 133.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (139.3). So far, 18 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 155 points.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Bradley’s offense scored 85 points against Northern Iowa. Their field goal percentage for the game was 48.3%, and they went 21/24 from the free-throw line. Offensively, the Braves hold a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, placing them 64th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 77th in terms of percentage and 42nd in three-pointers made.

So far this season, the Bradley defense has been performing well, ranking 84th in the country at 67.8 points allowed per contest. Against Northern Iowa in their most recent game, the Bradley defense gave up a total of 69 points while allowing Northern Iowa to hit 48% of their shots.

Will Illinois State Make it Happen at Home?

The Illinois State Redbirds are 11-11 overall and 5-6 in the Missouri Valley Conference. They are 7-4 at home this season, and their average scoring margin at home is +2.0 points per game.

Illinois State is 4-7 as the underdog this season. In their last game, they defeated Murray State by a score of 61-59. Over their last 10 home games, the Redbirds have gone 6-4.

Illinois State has an ATS record of 9-12 this season and their home ATS mark is 6-5. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Redbirds are 4-6 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 133.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Illinois State games this season (140.3). So far, 12 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 125 points.

Most recently, the Illinois State offense finished with just 61 points vs. Murray State. For the game, they hit 5/17 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 44.7%. On offense, Illinois State has been struggling with their efficiency, coming into today’s game with a field goal percentgage of 41%. So far, they are 118th in free-throws made on a free throw shooting percentage of 70%.

At present, the Redbirds’ defense is nationally ranked 79th, allowing 67.6 points per game. In their previous game vs. Murray State, the Racers finished with a field goal percentage of 43% and a total of 59 points vs. Illinois State.