Looking to win big? The Braves and Bulldogs face off at 3:30 ET on ESPN2. The Bulldogs are hosting the game at The Knapp Center in Des Moines, IA. This Missouri Valley conference matchup has an over/under of 146.5 points, and Drake is favored to win by -4 at home vs. Bradley.


The Pick: Drake Bulldogs -4

This game will be played at The Knapp Center at 3:30 ET on Sunday, March 3rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Bulldogs.
  • Not only will Drake pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 146.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Braves Pull the Upset on the Road?

Bradley will enter this game as an underdog, as they have been in four of their 30 games this season. The Braves are 1-3 when they are the underdog, and they are 21-9 overall, including a 13-6 record in Missouri Valley Conference play.

On the road, Bradley has gone 8-6 this season, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road is +3.1, compared to +11.3 at home.

As the underdog, Bradley has gone 2-2 vs. the spread this season and is 15-12-2 overall. On the road, the Braves are 7-6-1 vs. the spread and have gone 5-5 in their last 10 road games.

This season, the over/under record for Bradley games is 18-11 and today’s line of 146.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (139.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 131 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 5-5.

Bradley’s offense had a good outing, putting up 86 points against Southern Illinois. They achieved a 49.2% field goal percentage and went 19/24 from the free-throw line. Duke Deen is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 14.3. Meanwhile, Malevy Leons also brings a PPG average of 14 into the game.

At this time, the Braves’ defense is positioned 61st in the country, permitting 67.3 points per game. So far, the Bradley defense is giving up an average of 8.8 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.2 times per game (525th).

Can the Bulldogs Offense Score Enough at Home?

Drake has been nearly unbeatable at home this season, going 16-0 with an average scoring margin of +17.2 points per game. They have won their last 16 games at home, and over their last 10, they are a perfect 10-0.

On the season, the Bulldogs have been favored in 25 of their 30 games, going 20-5 in those contests. They are coming off a 91-77 loss to Northern Iowa, but they are still a strong 24-6 on the season.

As the favorite this season, Drake has gone just 12-13 against the spread. However, their ATS record at home is a solid 10-6. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bulldogs are 4-6 vs. the spread.

Drake’s over/under record for the season sits at 15-13 and today’s line of 146.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (145.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 177 points and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 6-4.

The Drake offense is coming off a game where they scored 77 points against Northern Iowa. They posted a field goal percentage of 47.5% and connected on 5 threes. The Drake offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 23.7 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 36% of their looks from outside this season.

So far, the Bulldogs’ defense is ranked 135th in the country at 70.9 points per contest. Drake’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Northern Iowa offense to knock down 55% of their shots on their way to putting up 91 points.