Bradley at Boise State College Basketball Pick
- 20th Dec 2015
- Aaron Ryan
Last Updated: 2017-03-06
The Boise State Broncos (7-4) will be at home when they play the Bradley Braves (2-9). Action begins at 2:00 pm ET on Sunday, Dec. 20 and can be seen on RT.
The Broncos enter this game hoping for similar success after edging Oregon 74-72 in their last matchup. Anthony Drmic was the team’s leading scorer with 19 points on 6-for-10 shooting. The Braves, meanwhile, are coming off a 61-53 win against Maryville (MO) in their last game. Callum Barker played well for Bradley, registering seven points, seven rebounds, and one steal.
The Braves may not find many second-chance opportunities in this matchup. They’re ranked 293rd in the nation in offensive rebounding (OR% of 26.3%), whereas Boise State is 32nd-best in the nation on the defensive glass (DR% of 75.4%).
This one isn’t expected to be close when Boise State, a substantial 21-point favorite, takes on Bradley. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of 131 points.
For updated lines, check out BTB’s College Basketball Odds.
The Broncos come into this game 7-4 Straight Up (SU) and 5-3-1 Against The Spread (ATS). The Broncos are one of the best in Division I in terms of three-point field goals, making 9.0 shots per game from beyond the arc. Boise State will look to take advantage of the Braves and their propensity to foul. Bradley ranks 314th in the nation in fouls, averaging 22.4 per game.
As for their opponent, the Braves have 2-9 SU and 3-6 ATS records.
Boise State and Bradley will be facing off for their first head-to-head game in recent seasons.
Predictions: SU Winner – Boise, ATS Winner – Boise, O/U – Over
Bradley is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Bradley’s last 6 games on the road.
Bradley is 2-20 SU in its last 22 games on the road.
Boise State scores 85.5 points per home game (ranked 68th). Bradley ranks a poor 322nd in points allowed on the road, allowing 85.7 points.
Ranked 55th, the Boise State Broncos have an offensive rating of 113.1. The Bradley Braves rank 199th with a defensive rating of just 102.7.
The Boise State Broncos average a field goal percentage of 46.7% this season. The Bradley Braves are a winless 0-3 when opponents have a FG% of 46.7% or greater.
On average, the Boise State Broncos attempt 26.0 three point field goals per game and the Bradley Braves attempt 19.0. In games where they attempt at least 20 three pointers, Boise State has a solid record of 7-3, while Bradley has a losing record of 1-3.
Boise State ranks 85th in the nation with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.24. Bradley is ranked lower at 350th with an A/TO of .52.
Bradley has forced an average turnover rate of 18.8% this season. In games where its turnover rate is 18.8% or higher, Boise State is an even 2-2.