At 7:00 ET, the Falcons and Broncos square off at Waldo Stadium in a week 13 NCAAF matchup. TV coverage belongs to ESNU with the game being played on Tuesday, November 21st. The Falcons are set as 1.5 point favorites on the road in this Mid-American showdown. Can they pull off a road win and cover the spread?

BOWLING GREEN FALCONS VS WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Western Michigan Broncos +1.5

This game will be played at Waldo Stadium at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, November 21st.

WHY BET THE WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 28-27 in favor of Bowling Green.
  • Even though we have Bowling Green winning straight-up, we like Western Michigan at +1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 54.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 55 points.

Do the Falcons Have a Shot at a Win at Kalamazoo?

So far, the Bowling Green Falcons are 6-5, including going 3-3 on the road and 2-2 at home.

Heading into this week’s matchup with Western Michigan, the Falcons have been favored in three games and the underdog in seven. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 6-4.

Across 11 games, the average over/under line in Bowling Green’s matchups is 45.3 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 50.4 points, resulting in an OU record of 7-3.

As they prepare to face the Western Michigan, the Falcons’ offense is averaging 142.4 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Nationally, they are 88th in rushing yards and 107th in passing yards, on an average of 182.3 yards per matchup. Bowling Green has averaged 25.6 points per game so far. This figure places them 64th in the nation.

The Falcons’ defense has given up 137.8 rushing yards per game this season, which is 156th. Opponents are recording an average of 199 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks come in with a passer rating of 91.7 when playing against Bowling Green. In terms of points allowed, they currently sit 62nd in NCAA rankings.

Will Western Michigan Make it Happen at Home?

So far, the Western Michigan Broncos are 4-7, including going 1-6 on the road and 2-1 at home.

Western Michigan’s average scoring differential for the season is -6.6 leading to an ATS mark of 6-4. The Broncos have been favored three times and the underdog in seven games

So far in this season, Western Michigan has posted an over/under record of 7-3. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 56.5 points, with the typical over/under line set at 51.8 points.

The Broncos’ heads into the game, averaging 156.3 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Overall, they’re 66th in rushing yards and 66th in passing yards at 219.2 yards per contest. Western Michigan is averaging 24.9 points per game, which is 66th in the nation.

The Broncos defense comes into the game with 23 sacks, and ranked 1st in QB hurries. In terms of points allowed, they are giving up 31.5 points per game (134th). When it comes to defending the pass, they are ranked 118th in the NCAA, allowing an average of 235.2 passing yards per game. Additionally, Western Michigan’s run defense comes in allowing 162.4 rushing yards per contest.