Planning on watching today’s Falcons and RedHawks game? Catch the action at Millett Hall in Oxford, OH, as the RedHawks hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Falcons are the favorites in this Mid-American conference matchup the against the RedHawks. The over/under for the game is set at 144.5 points.

BOWLING GREEN FALCONS VS MIAMI (OH) REDHAWKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami (OH) RedHawks +1

This game will be played at Millett Hall at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, January 16th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI (OH) REDHAWKS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the RedHawks.
  • Not only will Miami (OH) pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Are the Falcons Ready for a Road Win?

Coming into this game, the Bowling Green Falcons have won two straight games, and they are 12-4 overall. In Mid-American Conference play, they are 3-1, and their record outside of the conference is 9-3. On the road this season, they are 2-2, and their average scoring margin is -5.5 points per game.

So far this season, Bowling Green has been favored in nine of their 16 games, and their record as the favorite is 8-1. Their most recent game was an 83-72 win over Northern Illinois, and their record in their last 10 road games is 3-7.

When looking at Bowling Green’s ATS record this season, they are currently sitting at .500 with a mark of 7-7. In games where they have been favored, the Falcons are 5-4 vs the spread. On the road this year, Bowling Green has an ATS mark of just 1-3. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Falcons have gone 6-4 vs the spread.

This season, Bowling Green’s over/under record is 8-6 and today’s line of 144.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (147). So far, 9 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Recently, the over has been hitting a lot with their last 3 games having an average of 154 points.

The Bowling Green offense is coming off a game in which they scored 83 points vs. Northern Illinois. Overall their field goal percentage was 46.7% while connecting on 3 threes. The top scorer for the Falcons was Rashaun Agee with 24 points, while Marcus Hill also added 20 to the scoreboard.

Coming into today’s game, the Bowling Green defense is giving up an average of 69.0 points per contest. Bowling Green’s three-point defense is currently 73rd in the country at 6.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 37.9% of their shots vs. Bowling Green.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen at Home?

Miami (OH) comes into this game as the underdog, as they have a record of 3-6 when they are not favored. So far this season, they have gone 4-2 at home, compared to 2-6 on the road. In their last game, the RedHawks defeated Eastern Michigan by a score of 71-54.

Over their last ten games at home, Miami (OH) has gone 8-2, and their average scoring margin at home this season is +6.5. On the year, they have a record of 8-8, and their win streak is currently at two games.

As the underdog this season, Miami (OH) has an ATS record of 6-3. At home, their ATS mark is 4-2, and over their last 10 games as the underdog, the RedHawks have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

So far this year, the over/under record for Miami (OH) sits at 8-5-1. In their games, the average point total is 143.5, which is similar to the average over/under line of 143.8. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points and their OU record during that span is 1-2. On the season, 8 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 144.5.

In their recent game, the RedHawks’ offense concluded with 71 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 74.6 points per contest. Currently leading the team in scoring is Darweshi Hunter who comes into today’s matchup averaging 12.3. Bryce Bultman also heads into the game with a PPG average of 8.8.

At present, the RedHawks’ defense is nationally ranked 132nd, allowing 70.6 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 24.7% this season.