Looking to win big? The Falcons and Cardinals face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Cardinals are hosting the game at Worthen Arena in Muncie, IN. Bowling Green is favored by -1.5 in this Mid-American conference contest against Ball State. The game’s over/under currently sits at 148.5 points.


The Pick: Ball State Cardinals +1.5

This game will be played at Worthen Arena at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, January 30th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Cardinals.
  • Not only will Ball State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will Bowling Green Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?

Through 20 games this season, Bowling Green has an overall record of 14-6 and a record of 5-3 in Mid-American Conference play. The Falcons have lost two straight games, and they come into today’s game as 1.5-point favorites. So far, they have been favored in 11 games, going 9-2 in those contests.

On the road, Bowling Green has gone 3-3 this season, and their average scoring margin away from home is -5.5 points per game. In their last game, the Falcons lost to Toledo by a score of 88-72. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 3-7, and their record over their last five road contests is 3-2.

On the season, Bowling Green has an ATS record of 8-10 and vs. the spread as the favorite they are 5-6. Their ATS mark on the road is 2-4 and their last 10 favorite ATS record is 4-6.

So far this season, Bowling Green’s over/under record is 12-6. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (147.8). In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 165 points.

The Falcons’ offense wrapped up their last game with 72 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 76.5 points per contest. In terms of offense, the Falcons have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, putting them 222nd in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 289th in percentage and 211st in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Falcons’ defense is positioned 161st in the country, permitting 71.7 points per game. In their previous game vs. Toledo, the Rockets finished with a field goal percentage of 55% and a total of 88 points vs. Bowling Green.

Do the Cardinals Have a Shot at a Home Win?

Ball State comes into this game as a slight underdog, with a record of 11-9 compared to Bowling Green’s 14-6. The Cardinals have won two straight games, including their most recent matchup against Northern Illinois, 81-71.

At home this season, Ball State has gone 6-3, and over their last 10 games at home, they are 7-3. For the season, they have a scoring margin of +6.0 points per game at home.

Ball State has been a solid team against the spread this season, going 12-6 overall. They have been even better vs. the spread as the underdog, going 6-2. At home, the Cardinals have an ATS record of 7-2 this year and have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

Ball State’s over/under record for the season is 9-8-1, and the average scoring total in their games is 145.7 points. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (143.6). So far, 9 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-0-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 154 points.

The Ball State offense is coming off a game where they scored 81 points against Northern Illinois. They posted a field goal percentage of 47.2% and connected on 8 threes. One area that the Ball State offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 86th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 46%.

The Cardinals’ defense is presently ranked 122nd nationally, allowing an average of 70.0 points per contest. So far, the Ball State defense is giving up an average of 6.4 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.7 times per game (554th).