The Rangers (83-68, 46-31 home) will host the Red Sox (75-77, 37-39 away) in game three of this American League series. Starting for the Rangers is Jon Gray, while the Red Sox are giving the ball to Brayan Bello. Read on to see my pick for this showdown between Texas Rangers and Boston Red Sox.
BOSTON RED SOX VS TEXAS RANGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Texas Rangers -144
This game will be played at Globe Life Field at 2:05 ET on Wednesday, September 20th.
WHY BET THE TEXAS RANGERS:
- The Red Sox are just 1-4 in their last five road games.
- Over their previous five games as the underdog, the Red Sox are just 1-4 straight-up.
- The Rangers are 2-1 in Jon Gray’s last five starts.
BOSTON RED SOX SEEK TO IMPROVE THEIR ROAD RECORD
This season, the Red Sox have played a total of 49 series and are above .500 at 23-22-4. On the road, Boston is 37-39 and 38-38 at home. Their overall record of 75-77 has the Red Sox sitting 5th in the AL East.
Brayan Bello has taken the mound for the Red Sox 26 times this season, racking up a 12-9 record. His ERA is 3.71, his K/9 is 7.72, and his FIP is 4.19 with an OBP of .304.
Brayan Bello’s most recent start for the Red Sox ended in a loss against the Blue Jays. The right-hander went six innings, allowing three runs, and was charged with the defeat.
As a team, Boston has scuffled at the plate over their last ten games, with a combined batting average of just .187. Compared to other teams, this is just 29th in that span. When looking at the team’s power numbers, they have a season-long slugging percentage of .430% while going deep a total of 176 times (13th). Overall, the Red Sox are 8th in the MLB at 4.9 runs per contest.
The Red Sox’s offensive leader, Rafael Devers, has been a force to be reckoned with this season. He currently boasts a .277 batting average, .519 slugging percentage, and a .357 on-base percentage. His presence in the lineup has been integral to the team’s success in 2023.
WILL THE TEXAS RANGERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
For the season, the Rangers are 83-68 overall, including going 37-37 on the road and 46-31 at home. When looking at their overall series record, Texas is above .500 at 27-19-2. In the AL West, the Rangers are currently 3rd.
Jon Gray has made 27 appearances this season, boasting an 8-8 record and a 4.05 ERA. His WHIP is currently 1.29, with an opposing batting average of .313 and a 134/53 strikeout to walk ratio. Notably, Gray has surrendered a home run in each of his last four outings.
After a defeat at the hands of the Guardians, Jon Gray was unable to make it through four innings, surrendering three runs on seven hits in his 3 2/3 frames.
In their five most recent games, the Rangers have put together a batting average of only .192, placing them 27th compared to the rest of the league. At 5.5 runs per game, Texas is 3rd in the MLB. This figure has come on a team batting average of .265 and OPS of .789 which has them 3rd in baseball.
Corey Seager has been a consistent force in the Texas lineup this season, boasting a .333 batting average and .640 slugging percentage. During the team’s last ten games, he has led the way with hits, hitting at a .308 clip.