The Red Sox (76-83, 37-41 away) and Orioles (100-59, 48-30 home) square off in two of this AL East series. John Means will take the mound for the Orioles against Nick Pivetta for the Red Sox. See who I like to come out on top in this Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles showdown in Baltimore.
BOSTON RED SOX VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston Red Sox +113
This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 7:05 ET on Friday, September 29th.
WHY BET THE BOSTON RED SOX:
- Coming into the game, the Orioles have gone just 2-3 in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Orioles are just 4-6 (straight-up).
- Opponents are hitting just .216 against Nick Pivetta in his last four starts.
BOSTON RED SOX HAVE STRUGGLED AGAINST THE AL EAST
The Red Sox enter today’s game with an overall record of 76-83 which includes going 47-53 against teams with above .500 records. As of today, they are 5th in the AL East. Across their 51 series, Boston is 23-24-4 and have records of 37-41 and 39-42 on the road and at home, respectively.
Boston’s Nick Pivetta is currently 9-9 with an ERA of 4.25. On the road, he has been impressive with a 3.32 ERA, however his home ERA is 4.72. His WHIP for the season is 1.16 and opponents are batting just .208 against him, with a slugging percentage of .403.
Nick Pivetta recently earned a quality start in a no-decision against the White Sox, as the Red Sox ultimately fell 1-0. The righty yielded three hits and no runs over seven innings of work.
As a team, Boston has scuffled at the plate of late, with a combined batting average of just .218 over their last ten games. Compared to other teams, this is just 25th in that span. When looking at the team’s power numbers, they have a season-long slugging percentage of .427% while going deep a total of 181 times (16th). Overall, the Red Sox are 9th in the MLB at 4.8 runs per contest.
Masataka Yoshida has been a consistent presence in the Boston lineup this season, boasting a .285 batting average and .442 slugging percentage. In the team’s last ten games, Yoshida has been leading the charge offensively with a .254 batting average and a team-high number of hits.
WILL THE BALTIMORE ORIOLES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are 1st in the AL East with an overall record of 100-59. When looking at their performance in their 50 series, Baltimore is 31-14-5. Against below .500 teams, the Orioles are 50-50 while going 52-29 on the road and 48-30 at home.
John Means takes the mound for the Orioles with a 1-1 record. Through three outings, he has posted an ERA of 2.60 and a K/9 of 3.12. His FIP is 5.68 and opponents have managed to get on base against him at a .227 clip.
John Means earned a quality start and the win in his most recent outing, as Baltimore bested the Guardians 2-1. The southpaw allowed one run and one hit over 7 1/3 frames.
The Orioles’ offense comes into today’s game with a collective batting average of .257 and are averaging 5 runs per game for the season. Looking at their ten most recent games, Baltimore has gone deep eight times, which is ranked 11th in that time. To date, the team’s OPS is .748 to go along with an on base percentage of .323.
Over the Orioles’ past five contests, Adley Rutschman has been their most prolific hitter, batting .375. The catcher has been a force at the plate all season long, boasting a .277 average and 79 RBIs.