The Red Sox (76-82, 37-40 away) travel to take on the Orioles (99-59, 47-30 home) in game one of this AL East matchup. Chris Sale is getting the start for the Red Sox while Dean Kremer is starting for the Orioles. See who I like to pick up the win in today’s Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles showdown at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
BOSTON RED SOX VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston Red Sox +100
This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 6:35 ET on Thursday, September 28th.
WHY BET THE BOSTON RED SOX:
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Orioles are just 4-6 (straight-up).
- As the favorite on the road, the Red Sox’s win streak currently stands at two games.
- For the season, the Red Sox have gone 12-7 with Chris Sale on the mound as the starter.
BOSTON RED SOX HAVE STRUGGLED AGAINST THE AL EAST
Leading up to today’s game, the Red Sox are 5th in the AL East on a record of 76-82. Overall, they have played in 50 different series, going 23-23-4. When playing above .500 teams, the Red Sox are 76-82, and currently hold win percentages of 48.1% at home and 48.1% on the road.
Chris Sale is making his 20th appearance of the season with a 6-4 record. His ERA stands at 4.42, while opponents have a .223 batting average against him. On the road, Sale is 5-3 with an ERA of 4.74, and he’s 1-1 at home with an ERA of 5.63. Teams have a .408 slugging percentage against him so far this season.
In his last outing against the White Sox, Chris Sale was impressive, allowing no runs on three hits over five innings. Although he did not earn the win, Sale’s performance helped the Red Sox secure a 3-2 victory.
As a team, Boston has scuffled at the plate of late, with a combined batting average of just .220 over their last ten games. Compared to other teams, this is just 25th in that span. When looking at the team’s power numbers, they have a season-long slugging percentage of .429% while going deep a total of 181 times (15th). Overall, the Red Sox are 9th in the MLB at 4.8 runs per contest.
The Red Sox’s offensive leader, Rafael Devers, is batting .272 this season. He boasts a .506 slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .351 heading into the game.
WILL THE BALTIMORE ORIOLES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
So far this season, Baltimore has played in 49 series, going 30-14-5. Their current record of 99-59 is good for first place in the AL East. On the road, the Orioles have gone 52-29 compared to 47-30 at home.
Dean Kremer has been a reliable starter for the Orioles this season, boasting an impressive 12-5 record in 31 appearances. His ERA of 4.25 and K/9 figure of 8.01 have been solid, while his FIP of 4.63 and OBP of .314 are also respectable numbers.
Dean Kremer’s last start against the Guardians resulted in a no-decision for the right-hander. He gave up six runs on seven hits across 3 1/3 innings, and Baltimore ultimately fell 9-8.
Having gone deep 2 times in their last five games, the Orioles are 10th in that span. At 5.1 runs per game, Baltimore is 7th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .257 while hitting a total of 182 home runs (14th).
The Orioles have been on a roll lately, and Adley Rutschman has been at the forefront of their offensive surge. Over the last five games, Rutschman has led the team in hits with a .417 batting average. For the season, he is hitting .276 and has 79 RBIs.