Last Updated: 2019-06-18
The Boston Red Sox will face off against the Minnesota Twins. This AL showdown will begin at 8:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will televise the game.
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Minnesota (-110) as the favorite over Boston (+100). The game’s total sits at 10 runs and gamblers can take the over for -105 and the under for -115. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Red Sox +1.5 runs (-210) and Twins -1.5 runs (+175).
The Twins are 47-24 straight up (SU) and 41-29 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 20.9 units for moneyline bettors and 9.3 units ATS. Minnesota has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Red Sox are 40-34 SU and have gone 31-42 ATS. They’ve lost 12.2 units for moneyline bettors and 14.8 units ATS. Boston is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Minnesota games have had an over/under record of 37-28-5 so far in 2019. The Red Sox have also been a decent over bet with a total record of 40-30-3.
David Price is getting the nod for Boston. The southpaw Price (4-2, 3.52 ERA) has recorded 71 punchouts in 61.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Twins this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 4.50 ERA and three strikeouts over six innings).
The Twins are sending righty Michael Pineda (4-3, 5.04 ERA) to the mound. Pineda has 57 strikeouts and 13 walks to his credit, along with a WHIP of 1.21. Pineda did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.
Boston’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.50 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.66 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.97, along with a WHIP of 1.26.
The Red Sox offense has slashed .261/.341/.448 on its way to 5.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts continue to lead Boston’s hitters. Devers is slashing .302/.357/.495 with 11 home runs, 45 RBIs, 52 runs and eight stolen bases, while Bogaerts has a .301 average with 14 homers, 48 RBIs and 56 runs scored.
For the home team, Minnesota’s pitching staff has allowed 4.3 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.52, a WHIP of 1.15 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 4.71 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
Minnesota’s offense is putting up 5.9 runs per contest, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .266/.354/.444 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario have led the Twins’ offense this year. Polanco is hitting .332/.394/.555 with 10 home runs, 37 RBIs and 45 runs scored, and Rosario’s line is .258/.293/.509 with 19 homers, 52 RBIs and 47 runs.
The Red Sox have lost 1.4 units and are 24-27 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 28 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 2.1 units and are 10-5 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in nine of those games, compared to four that went under the total.
Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Boston has tallied 22 extra-base hits over its last five games. Minnesota has 16 XBH over its last five.
Minnesota has posted 26.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.6 over its last five.
The Red Sox have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 14 over their last five.
The Red Sox have a team OPS of .789 this season and an OPS of .809 against right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS stands at .854 overall and .845 against righties.