This will be the first time that these two franchises have met in the NBA playoffs and both are coming off sweeps of their first-round opponents. The Celtics swept the Philadelphia 76ers, who were without the services of Ben Simmons, who suffered a season-ending meniscus injury requiring surgery. The NBA defending Champions swept the Brooklyn Nets in four games and when needed their league-leading defense dominating and halted any offensive runs the Nets attempted to mount. The consensus is that this matchup is a tossup, but I am all over the Raptors and a wager on them to win this series.
What are the Betting Lines for Game 1?
In the NBA Futures Odds Betting Market little has changed since the restart of bubble games with the Milwaukee Bucks remaining the favorites to win the Eastern Conference at odds averaging -110 at most sportsbooks. For those new to betting, this means a bet of $110 would win $100 if the Bucks win the Eastern Conference. The Raptors have odds of +250 or in fractional terms 5/2 with a $100 bet winning $250 if the Raptors win the Eastern Conference. The Celtics are next at +350 so you can see the matchup between the Celtics and Raptors is going to help decide, who does advance to the NBA Finals.
In Game 1, the Raptors are favored by 2-points at the DSI Sportsbook and remember all these games are being played in neutral court settings in Orlando.
Are There Any Betting Systems For This Game?
Here is steady betting system that has earned a respectable 200-126 ATS for 61.3% winning bets over the last five seasons and instructs us to bet on favorites with a winning record on the season and is playing a team that beat the spread by a combined total of at least 17 points in their last three games and also has a winning record on the season. When the qualified game has been in the playoffs the betting record improves to 35-21 ATS for 63% winning bets and a straight-up record of 40-16 for 71%. Given the short line, the money line is an alternative betting opportunity to play the Raptors.
Summary of the Machine Learning Tools and Projections
The Raptors are 144-9 straight-up for 94% winners and 116-36-1 ATS when scoring at least 111 points and their opponent does not shoot above 48% from the field in all games played since 2015. They are 12-1 SU and 12-1 ATS covering the spread by an average of 12 points in playoff games since 2015.
The Boston Celtics are 13-64 SU for just 17% wins and 12-63-2 ATS for 16% wins when they have allowed an opponent to score 111 or more points and shot no better than 48% from the field. In playoff games they are a miserable 1-14 SU for 7% and 2-13 ATS for 13%.
The Celtics Tatum had a great series against the 76ers. However, he achieved his lofty numbers without the presence of 76ers Ben Simmons, who is considered by many to be one of the best defensive players in the NBA. Simmons would have shadowed Tatum all over the court and undoubtedly would have minimized his points-per-game in that series. Toronto is even deeper with several defensive players that can make it far more difficult for Tatum to repeat what he accomplished in the 76ers series.
Bet the Toronto Raptors to win the series and to cover the spread in Game 1.