The Orlando Magic (17-24) will be at home in the Amway Center when they go head-to-head with the Boston Celtics (25-16). Boston is a 6.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 212.5 points. Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019.
Boston Celtics vs. Orlando Magic ATS Preview
In the Celtics’ last matchup, they lost to the Miami Heat, 115-99, despite being 2.5-point favorites. Boston’s Kyrie Irving had a good game, leading both teams in scoring with 22 points on 10-for-19 shooting. Miami had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (26.3 vs. 18.0). Boston, on the other hand, did a terrific job of converting from the free throw line (15-17; 88.2 percent). The two teams combined to put up 214 points, which was just over the projected point total of 211.5.
The Magic were not able to cover as 9.5-point underdogs in their 106-93 loss to the Utah Jazz in their last outing. With 18 points and 10 rebounds, Aaron Gordon put together a good performance for Orlando. Utah had a better effective field goal percentage (0.560 vs. 0.476). Orlando, meanwhile, held the Jazz to an offensive rebounding percentage of 10.5 (below their season average of 21.9). The two clubs collectively scored 199 points, which was under the projected point total of 207.5.
The inefficient offense of Orlando (28th in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 102.9) will go head-to-head against the top-notch defense of Boston (second in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 102.9). The Celtics should have the edge on that end of the court. Also, the Celtics rank fourth in turnover percentage (12.6 percent), while the Magic rank 21st in opponents’ turnover percentage (13.0 percent).
In terms of the O/U total, these teams are complete opposites. Boston games have finished over 63.4 percent of the time, while 61.0 percent of games including Orlando have gone under. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Celtics have a substantial advantage. They are 25-16 SU and 22-19 ATS, while the Magic are 17-24 SU and 19-20-2 ATS.
These two teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined to put up 183 points in that game, which was well under the projected point total of 211.5. The Magic won 93-90, covering as 11-point underdogs. The Magic’s 8.5 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Celtics, who had a rate of 11.2. Nikola Vucevic put up a double-double in the victory with 24 points and 12 rebounds.
Celtics vs. Magic Odds Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Celtics, O/U – Under
Boston ranks seventh in fast break points per game (16.6) while Orlando ranks 25th (10.3).
Boston ranks 27th in points in the paint per game (42.7) while Orlando ranks last (40.8).
The Magic rank fifth in second chance points allowed per game (11.4) while the Celtics rank eighth (12.4).
Boston is 8-13 ATS on the road, while Orlando is 8-11 ATS at home.
Orlando is 1-4 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in its last five games.
Across its past five games, Boston is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Magic’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.6, up from 4.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Celtics have scored an average of 115.8 points per game (3.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 102.6 points per game (3.0 below their season average).