Looking to win big? The Bruins and Maple Leafs face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs are hosting the game at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. The over/under for this matchup is currently set at 6.5 goals and the Maple Leafs are the -1.5 favorite to win at home vs. the Bruins.

BOSTON BRUINS VS TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5

This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena at 7:00 ET on Monday, March 4th.

WHY BET THE TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS:

  • The Maple Leafs enter this game as 1.5-goal favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 4-3.
  • Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Bruins (+1.5)

Will the Bruins Win in Toronto?

Overall, the Bruins have been a strong team this season, posting a record of 35-13-14, good for 84 points and the 3rd spot in the Eastern Conference standings. In conference play, Boston has gone 19-14 and 12-6 against Atlantic Division opponents.

On the road, the Bruins have been solid, going 16-6-9 this season. Over their last ten games, Boston has struggled, winning just three times, and they have gone just 1-4 in their last five games.

On the season, the Bruins have gone 30-32 against the puck line, including going just 2-8 in their last ten games. As the underdog, Boston has gone 8-0 vs. the puck line this season. Overall, they have 24 wins by multiple goals and 11 wins by just one goal.

So far, the Bruins have been the underdog in eight games this season, and their average scoring margin on the year is +.5 goals per game. In their last ten road games, Boston has gone just 3-7 against the puck line.

The average goal total for Boston’s games is sitting at 6.2. The average over/under line for the season is 5.9. The Bruins come in with an over/under record of 31-31-0.

Across the Bruins last three road games, the team averaged 2 goals per game while allowing 4. Their record vs the puck line in these contests was 1-2, while going 0-3 straight-up.

In terms of their offensive performance, the Bruins are averaging 3.3 goals per game this season, putting them in the 8th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 17th in the league. Boston’s offense comes into the game ranked 11th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 16th in the NHL.

Boston’s leading goal scorer is David Pastrnak. So far this season, he has 38 goals, placing him 4th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Pastrnak has 49 assists this season.

In terms of defense, the Maple Leafs head into the game ranked 25th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.7 shots per game against Toronto. So far, they are 6th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Jeremy Swayman has started 33 games this season. His current record stands at 19-6, and his save percentage is 0.796%.

Will Toronto Find a Way to Win at Home?

At home this season, the Maple Leafs have gone 17-11-2, and in the Eastern Conference, they are in 4th place. In the Atlantic Division, Toronto is in 3rd place, and their overall record is 35-17-8. Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone 9-1, and they have won two straight games as the favorite.

So far this year, Toronto has been the favorite in 50 of their 60 games, and they have gone 30-13-7 in those contests. Against other teams from the Eastern Conference, the Maple Leafs have a record of 12-17.

When favored this season, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of 15-35 and an average scoring margin of +.6 goals per game. So far, Toronto has 19 wins by multiple goals and 16 wins by just one goal.

At home, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of just 10-20 this season and their average scoring margin is +.5 goals per game. Their puck line record in their last 10 home games is 3-7.

The average goal total for Toronto’s games is sitting at 6.9. The average over/under line for the season is 6.5. The Maple Leafs come in with an over/under record of 33-25-2.

Although Boston has a straight up record of 0-3 in their last three road games, they have not held up as well vs the puck line going 1-2. The team averaged 2 goals per game in these games.

The Maple Leafs come into the game scoring an average of 3.7 goals per game, putting them 4th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 6th in the league. The Maple Leafs went 19-8 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 14-8.

Toronto will be looking for a good game from Auston Matthews who leads the team in scoring with 53 goals, ranking 1st in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 26 assists so far.

The Maple Leafs defense is currently 25th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Toronto. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 6th with 4 shutouts.

Goalie Joseph Woll comes into the game having made 14 starts this season. So far, his record is 9-5 and he has a save percentage of 0.509%.