On Saturday, November 11, 2017, the 7-2 Boise State Broncos travel to Hughes Stadium to take on the 6-4 Colorado State Rams. Boise State enters this contest looking for their sixth straight win and has an impressive streak going of allowing 14 points in each of the last four games. During the streak the Broncos of averaged better than 33 points per game, slightly above their season average of 31.1. The defense is averaging 19.9 points allowed per contest.
Colorado State had a one streak going of their own where they had won 4 games in a row, but have dropped their last two contests, including a three-point loss to Wyoming last week.
The Broncos are 6-3 against the spread this season, and they are 4-2 in their last six games against the spread when facing the Rams. In the last five matchups between these two teams, Boise State has come out on top in each of those games and the over has been true in four of the last six contests between these two clubs. Boise State has gone under in four of their last five games and they are 4-1 in their last five games against the spread on the road. The Broncos have gone over in 15 of their last 22 games on the road, but the under has been the case in four of the last six games on the road.
Colorado State is 6-4 this season against the spread. The Rams are 1-4 in their last five games against the spread and are 4-2 in their last six straight up. Colorado State is 1-4 against the spread in their last five games at home and have gone 6-2 straight up in their last eight games at home.
Boise State is usually known as an offensive football team, and that is true of this team as well. Two different quarterbacks have been leading the offense, Brett Rypien, and Montell Cozart, who have combined to throw for over 2000 yards and 16 touchdowns while completing better than 65 percent of their passes for each quarterback. Combined they have thrown just four interceptions in 265 attempts.
What separates the two is that Cozart is clearly the better runner, getting 299 yards and four touchdowns this season. Alex Mattison leads the run attack, with 677 yards and seven scores. He is averaging 4.8 yards per carry.
On defense, the Broncos have recorded 22 sacks, 11 interceptions, and five fumble recoveries. Curtis Weaver leads the team in sacks with 7.0, followed closely behind by Jabril Frazier who has 5.0. Kekoa Nawahine leads the team in interceptions with three.
COLORADO STATE RAMS
Colorado State has also put up some impressive numbers offensively, averaging 31.2 points per game, while the defense has been giving up an average of 25.7 points per game.
The offense is led by the incredible talents of Dalyn Dawkins, who was rushed for 1050 yards and five touchdowns. Dawkins is averaging 6.6 yards per carry and 105 yards per game. His backup, Izzy Matthews, has 583 yards on 122 carries and leads the team with eight touchdowns.
The Rams have 19 sacks this season, with eight interceptions and seven fumble recoveries. Colorado State is led by Jakob Buys, who leads the team with 3.0 sacks. Three different players have at least two interceptions on this team. Josh Watson has played exceptionally well on the defense, leading the Rams with 84 tackles, plus adding an interception and a fumble recovery. He is a dynamic playmaker who should be a serious difference maker in this game.
Broncos vs. Rams Betting Lines
This should be an exciting game between two teams that have a natural rivalry with one another as well as a desire to boost their chances for a better bowl contest. Each of these teams can put up points, with the Rams having the more prolific rushing attack. Right now it is the Broncos defense that stands out in this game, as they have been really solid over the last six weeks, and should be the difference in this contest.
The defense for Boise State is going to be the difference in this game. Expect them to keep Colorado State at about 21 points, which should give Boise State a 10 point victory. That makes the under the better bet.
My Pick: Boise State -6 (-110)
Totals: Under 56.0 (-110)
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