Probably the most intriguing NCAAB game scheduled for Friday, February 3, is this Mountain West tilt in San Diego, so make sure you don’t miss out on the best Broncos vs. Aztecs betting pick and odds.

Boise State is hoping to get the fourth win in a row when they visit San Diego State at Viejas Arena. The Aztecs are 7-point favorites on BetDSI Sportsbook, while the total is set at 134 points. These Mountain West rivals will meet for the first time this season.

Broncos beat Air Force on the road in a low-scoring affair

The Boise State Broncos (18-5, 14-7-1 ATS) were on a five-game winning run which snapped with an overtime loss to the New Mexico Lobos on the road. However, the Broncos responded well and recorded three straight victories, including the latest one against the Air Force Falcons on the road. Boise State limited the hosts to 21 points in the first half and celebrated a 59-52 win in the end. The rivals were pretty much tied in every segment, but the Broncos made seven triples opposite Air Force’s four.

Senior guard Max Rice led the Broncos with a game-high 22 points and team-high seven rebounds. Marcus Shaver Jr. added 12 points and five boards.

G Marcus Shaver Jr. injured his ankle in the game against Air Force and is doubtful to face the Aztecs on Friday. F Naje Smith is questionable after injuring his leg against the Falcons.

Aztecs lost to Nevada on the road

The San Diego State Aztecs (17-5, 8-12-1 ATS) were looking to record their fifth win in a row, but the Nevada Wolf Pack prevented them with a 75-66 win. The Aztecs were up by two points at halftime, but the Wolf Pack scored 47 points in the second 20 minutes to secure a home victory. San Diego State committed 11 turnovers opposite Nevada’s six, while the hosts shot 50.0% from the floor and kept the Aztecs to 43.8%.

San Diego State had just two players in double figures; senior guard Matt Bradley led the Aztecs with 16 points, while Darrion Trammell chipped in ten points, four assists, and two steals. The Aztecs’ bench contributed 29 points opposite Nevada’s one, but that wasn’t enough to avoid this defeat.

Trends:

Boise State:

  • 4-9 ATS in the last 13 games against San Diego State

San Diego State:

  • 4-1 ATS in the last five games overall
  • 3-1-1 ATS in the last five games following an ATS loss
  • 4-1 ATS in the last five Friday games

Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs Pick

Boise State has a stronger defense but I am not sure that is going to help them in this one as the Broncos will probably play without two key players – Marcus Shaver Jr. and Naje Smith. Shaver Jr. leads the team in rebounds, assists, and steals, while Smith is the team’s leader in blocks, so the Broncos are going to miss these guys on Friday. That’s why I believe the 12th-best defense in the country is going to suffer against the offense that averages 75.0 ppg.

Pick: Take the Aztecs at -5.5 (-133)

The Total

Boise State is averaging 72.4 points per game, but considering the potential absence of Marcus Shaver Jr. and Naje Smith, who combine for nearly 23 points per contest, I doubt the visitors will score enough points for an Over. Still, the Aztecs will exploit this situation and I wouldn’t be surprised if the hosts score 75+ points here. Over is 8-2 in the Broncos’ last ten overall; Over is 6-1 in Boise State’s previous seven games following a straight-up win, while Over is 13-6 in the Aztecs’ last 19 home games.

Pick: Go Over 132.5 points (-130)