Looking to win big? The Broncos and Lobos face off at 10:30 ET on FS1. The Lobos are hosting the game at The Pit in Albuquerque, NM. The over/under for this Mountain West conference contest is set at 151 points, with New Mexico being favored by -10.5 at home against Boise State.

BOISE STATE BRONCOS VS NEW MEXICO LOBOS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boise State Broncos +10.5

This game will be played at The Pit at 10:30 ET on Wednesday, January 31st.

WHY BET THE BOISE STATE BRONCOS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Lobos.
  • Even though we have New Mexico winning straight-up, we like Boise State at +10.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 151 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Does Boise State Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

Boise State heads into this game as the underdog, as they have been in seven of their 20 games this season. The Broncos have gone 4-3 in those games, and they have a record of 14-6 overall.

Boise State has won two games in a row, and they have gone 5-1 in Mountain West play. On the road this season, the Broncos have gone 4-3, and their average scoring margin is -0.7 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Boise State has gone 4-3 vs. the spread. Over their last three games as the underdog, the Broncos are 3-0 ATS. On the road, they have gone 3-4 vs. the spread this year and are 9-9 overall. Their ATS mark in their last three road games is 2-1 and they are 3-7 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games.

On the season, the over/under record for Boise State games is 9-9, but the average over/under line in their games is just 138. Today’s line of 151 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points and their OU record in those games is 2-1.

The Boise State offense is coming off a game where they scored 72 points against Fresno State. They posted a field goal percentage of 46.3% and connected on 8 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Chibuzo Agbo with 16 points. Max Rice also added 16 points for the Broncos.

Boise State’s defense has been playing well, ranking 54th nationally, with 66.4 points allowed per game. Boise State’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Fresno State offense to knock down 52% of their shots on their way to putting up 68 points.

Can New Mexico Live Up to the Hype at Home?

At home this season, New Mexico has been perfect, going 10-0. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 10-0. In their last game, they faced Nevada and won by a score of 89-55. So far this year, they have gone 18-3.

As for Boise State, they have gone 6-3 on the road this season. Their average scoring margin on the road this year is +7.4. This season, they have gone 5-2 in Mountain West play, while New Mexico has gone 5-2.

As the favorite, New Mexico has been excellent vs. the spread this season, going 14-3. At home, the Lobos are 9-1 vs. the spread, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they have an 8-2 record vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 151 is lower than the average over/under line for New Mexico’s games this season (153.2). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 154 points.

New Mexico’s offense had a good outing, putting up 89 points against Nevada. They achieved a 58.6% field goal percentage and went 10/14 from the free-throw line. Jaelen House led the scoring for the Lobos, contributing 21 points. Additionally, Jamal Mashburn JR chipped in with 14 points.

The Lobos’ defense is presently ranked 101st nationally, allowing an average of 68.8 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Nevada, the Wolf Pack finished with a field goal percentage of 58% and a total of 55 points vs. New Mexico.