Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Broncos and Bulldogs. The game is starting at 10:30 ET on FS1, and it’s hosted by the Bulldogs at Save Mart Center in Fresno, CA. Get ready to place your bets! The Broncos are the favorites in this Mountain West conference matchup the against the Bulldogs. The over/under for the game is set at 135.5 points.
BOISE STATE BRONCOS VS FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs +6
This game will be played at Save Mart Center at 10:30 ET on Tuesday, January 23rd.
WHY BET THE FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Bulldogs.
- Not only will Fresno State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +6.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 135.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.
Can the Broncos Grab a Win on the Road?
Boise State has won two straight games on the road, and they are 3-3 on the road this season. Overall, the Broncos have gone 13-5, including a 9-2 record at home.
So far, Boise State has been favored in 10 of their 18 games, going 8-2 in those contests. In their last game, the Broncos beat San Diego State 67-66.
Boise State has an ATS record of 9-8 this season and they are 5-5 vs. the spread when favored. On the road, the Broncos have gone 3-3 vs. the spread this year and their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 5-5.
Boise State’s over/under record for the season sits at 8-9 and today’s line of 135.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (138.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 128 points and their OU record during this stretch is 0-3. On the year, 10 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line.
Against San Diego State, the Boise State had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 73.6 points per game. They scored 67 points and posted a field goal percentage of 39.3% in the game. One area that the Boise State offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 129th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 45%.
Currently, the Broncos’ defense holds the 36th rank in the nation, allowing 65.0 points per game. Boise State’s three-point defense is currently 15th in the country at 4.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.0% of their shots vs. Boise State.
Can the Bulldogs Secure a Win at Home?
Coming off a 83-62 loss to Utah State, Fresno State will be looking to snap their three-game losing streak on the road. The Bulldogs have struggled away from home this season, going just 1-5 and being outscored by an average of 12.5 points per game.
Overall, Fresno State is 8-10, including a 6-5 record at home. So far, they have been the underdog in eight of their 18 games, going 0-8 in those contests.
As the underdog, Fresno State has struggled against the spread this season, going just 1-7 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS mark is 6-11, but at home, they are just 4-7 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bulldogs are just 2-8 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 135.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Fresno State’s games this year (138.8). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points, and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 5-5.
The Fresno State offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 62 points versus Utah State. During the game, they attempted 25 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 41.4%. For the season, the Fresno State offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 47%. So far, they have hit 54% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 6.6 made three’s per contest.
On defense, Fresno State is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 73.2 points per game. In today’s game, the Fresno State defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 5 three-pointers while giving up 83 points.