Betting on the Over/Under – Watford vs. Chelsea 2/5/2018


After an embarrassing 3-0 defeat against Bournemouth in front of the home fans in the previous round of the English Premier League, Chelsea will visit Watford this Monday, February 5th, 2018, and the Hornets are playing in a quite poor form recently, so a positive result against the Blues at home seems like a must for Javi Gracia’s boys. Therefore, this clash will suit you if you like to bet on goals, so let’s see what can we expect from this two teams.

Team News, Updates and Facts

WATFORD sacked Marco Silva ten days ago after a run of bad results, hiring a former Malaga and Rubin Kazan manager Javi Gracia, but this change hasn’t brought anything positive for the time being. In the previous two games, the Hornets failed to find the net, losing 1-0 to Southampton on the road in the English FA Cup Round of 32, and playing a disappointing nil-nil draw with Stoke City at Bet365 Stadium on last Wednesday. Watford is without a win for five straight Premier League matches, recording two draws and three losses in the process, while they’ve managed to win just once in the last twelve Premier League rounds. The Hornets are currently in the 11th spot of the table with 27 points and a 33:44 goal difference, just four points above the relegation zone, and another defeat could bring them to a seriously inconvenient situation.

On the other side, CHELSEA will travel to Watford with just one thing on their mind – how to make up for that shameful defeat against Bournemouth in the previous round. It was their first loss in the last nine Premier League matches, but at the end of the round they’ve slipped to the fourth spot of the table with 50 points, same as Liverpool in the third place, and just two points ahead of Tottenham in the fifth spot. Rumors about Antonio Conte living the club are now even louder, and according to some insiders he could be sacked before the end of the season. Chelsea failed to reach the English Carabao Cup Final after losing to Arsenal 2-1 in the second leg of the Semi-Finals, while they’ve managed to qualify for the FA Cup Round of 16 after beating Newcastle 3-0 at home on last weekend when Michy Batshuayi scored a brace for the Blues.

Betting Odds on the Total at BetDSI Sportsbook 

Over 2.5 Goals @ -121

Under 2.5 Goals @ +101

Why Bet on the Under?

Watford couldn’t find the net in the previous two Premier League matches, while they’ve scored just a couple of goals in the last four games in all competitions. Their second-best goalscorer Richarlison is goalless for 15 games in a row, while the first option in the front Troy Deeney bagged just one goal in his last eight appearances. On the other side, Chelsea played three consecutive nil-nil draws in January, while they’ve failed to find the net in two out of the previous five Premier League matches.

Why Bet on the Over?

Watford is the worst team on the home soil in the Premier League, and in the last six games at Vicarage Road, they couldn’t keep their net intact, while five of these six tilts had at least three goals in a total. However, they’ve managed to find the net in seven straight games at home, so obviously, their poor defending job cost them a lot of points. Chelsea, on the other hand, is the second-best visitor in the league, and eight out of their twelve away matches were finished in the over.

Watford vs. Chelsea Over/Under Betting Pick

Chelsea won the last two H2H duels when we saw a bunch of goals in both of them (4-2 and 4-3), while four out of the previous five H2H meetings had at least three goals in a total (just one was finished in 0-0 stalemate). Watford’s defense is one of the worst in the Premier League, and I presume they will struggle against the Blues who simply have to bounce back after a shocking defeat against Bournemouth, so they will probably attack from the start of the match. However, the hosts will be looking for their chance on the counter, and I think they could score in front of the home fans.

MY PICK: Over 2.5 Goals (-121)