Betting on the Over/Under – Tottenham Hotspur vs. West Ham United 1/4/2018

Last Updated: 2018-01-05

The hectic Premier League holiday programme will end with this tilt between the city rivals Tottenham and West Ham as both teams had only one full day to rest following respective wins over Swansea and West Brom on Tuesday. The good news for both is that they don’t have to travel far for this meeting as Wembley is some 30 km away from London Stadium.

Tottenham was confident at Liberty Stadium with a convincing 2-0 victory over Swansea thanks to goals from Fernando Llorente and Dele Alli, and potential three points on Thursday will send them just a point behind Liverpool who is currently sitting in the fourth position in the Premier League table. Spurs won three consecutive games and they are huge favorites against the Hammers, while Mauricio Pochettino is delighted to see his team scoring a bunch of goals lately; Tottenham bagged ten goals in the previous three matches, conceding just two in return.

On the other hand, West Ham is coming to Wembley after a comeback victory over West Brom, when Andy Carroll scored a brace to secure precious three points to the Hammers. The former Liverpool striker nailed the winner in the 94th minute and West Ham managed to bounce back following Callum Wilson’s late equalizer in a 3-3 thriller at Bournemouth a week ago. The Hammers are showing signs of improvement since David Moyes took charge at London Stadium, but they still have a lot to do to avoid relegation this season. West Ham is in the 16th position at the moment with 21 points, only a point ahead of the danger zone, and a possible loss here could send them to the 18th place.

Betting Odds on the Total at 5Dimes Sportsbook

Over 3 goals @ -108

Under 3 goals @ -109

Why bet on the Under?

The crazy schedule and the fact that both teams have just one day to recover from the previous matches is the main reason to consider playing on the under. Playing on Thursday is not common for the Premier League and the players might find it difficult to adapt to the unusual fixture, which could result in a low-scoring affair.

Why bet on the Over?

Both teams are quite efficient recently, and despite the fact that Spurs are not allowing plenty of goals, they must be aware of West Ham’s current form in front of the goal; the Hammers scored ten goals in the previous four Premier League matches. The in-form Marko Arnautovic and Andy Carroll combined for six of those ten goals and they will surely test Tottenham’s sturdy defense, and I am not convinced Pochettino’s side will be able to keep the clean sheet for the third time in four games.

However, the biggest reason for playing the over on this one is the return of one of the best strikers in the world at the moment – Harry Kane. The English international scored 24 goals in 25 appearances so far in this campaign, but he didn’t start at Liberty Stadium against Swansea due to an illness. He was introduced with some 20 minutes to go, and even with him on the bench, Tottenham proved that they are not a one-man team. Still, I am convinced that they are much better with him in the starting lineup, and with such creative individuals like Christian Eriksen and Dele Alli behind him to feed him with useful passes, I can see Spurs scoring at least two goals here. Kane recorded a brace on seven occasions this season, including a couple of hat-tricks, and a pair of goals in the previous tilt with West Ham. The striker scored seven goals in the last seven encounters with the Hammers, so he is a clearly a man to watch on Thursday.

Tottenham Hotspur vs. West Ham United Betting Pick

The excitement is guaranteed when these two sides are playing each other in recent history as the last six Premier league clashes produced 30 yellow cards (five per game) and one red, but more importantly, they combined for 21 goals (3.5 on average). We saw at least three goals in each of the previous seven contests at Tottenham’s turf, while three out of the last four H2H matches ended 3-2. Spurs won 3-2 at London Stadium back in September, but West Ham got a revenge in the Carabao Cup and fought bravely to secure a huge 3-2 victory at Wembley after Tottenham had a 2-0 lead. Spurs scored 12 goals in the past three home matches in the Premier League, and I would be surprised if they don’t score two or three on this one, but I am also backing the visitors to find the net.

MY PICK: Over 3 goals (-108)

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