Last Updated: 2017-12-29
Betting on the NFL is getting tougher and tougher as the season goes on. It could even be said that the last week of the season is the toughest week of them all. That is the week that the pro football handicapper has to cover every angle before placing a wager on a game on Sunday. If they miss just one thing, they could miss out on an easy winner.
Betting against the public is a popular handicapping method in the NFL and it has proven to make money. In the last week of the season however you have to take a closer look at the numbers. They don’t always take into account the motivation for each football team. They also will not cover every playoff scenario for every single team, which is essential to know at this time of the year.
This is still a good week to fade the public when it comes to betting on the National Football League, but make sure you do your homework so you don’t get caught napping in the last week of the regular season.
Chalk Up A Winner
The Cincinnati Bengals are a bad team, but after winning a week ago against the Lions, the public is buying in. Over 59 percent of the bets coming in on the Bengals vs Ravens game is on the Bengals. This is most likely because the Ravens are giving ten points in this game. However, this is a prime example of a team that has something to play for going up against a team who has nothing to play for. If you decide to wager on this game you may want to pass on the Bengals, who have given up on the season.
Even teams that give up on the season, tend to play better at home. That is why it is interesting to see that the public is betting more money on road teams in 11 of the 16 games this week. Although some of those teams are having bad seasons like the Dolphins and the Giants, it may be best to check out a few home teams in week 17 of the season.
Fading the Top Pick is the Way To Go
We have firmly established a winning streak to end the season. Last week we went against the most popular play on the board and squeaked out another winner as the LA Rams failed to cover the number against the Tennessee Titans. Although it was closer than most people would like, it is still a winner. With only one week left we are going to once again go against the most popular play on the board.
The Kansas City Chiefs have no reason to play this week and they announced that they will start Patrick Mahomes at quarterback. This has not stopped the public from pounding the Chiefs on the road. Over 77 percent of the money coming in on this game is on the Chiefs. The Broncos will start Paxton Lynch and they still have one of the best defenses in football. The Broncos at home is worth a play in this spot as we look to end the season on a winning note, by fading the most popular play of the week!
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