Last Updated: 2018-01-13
This round of the Spanish La Liga offers a few interesting matches such as Real Madrid vs. Villarreal and Real Sociedad vs. Barcelona, but we have picked out the clash between Deportivo La Coruna and Valencia, due to the big rivalry that began in 1994. Back then at Riazor, Valencia held Deportivo to a goalless draw at in the last round of the championship and prevented La Coruna from clinching their first-ever title as the trophy went to Barcelona’s hands. It was rumored that Barca even paid Valencia’s players to fight and take the point despite the fact that the Bats didn’t have anything to play for.
La Coruna is looking for the first win in over a month as they lost two and drew the most recent game with Villarreal, so the Turks are in jeopardy of going down to the danger zone. That could happen with a potential defeat as Deportivo currently has 16 points in the 16th position in LaLiga, only a point ahead of Alaves who is in the relegation zone. CristóbalParralo’s side is not competing in Copa del Rey anymore and they don’t play European football, so they can focus on Primera and fight to keep the elite status for the next season, but Valencia will be a huge obstacle when they meet at Riazor.
On the other hand, Valencia endured a difficult period following a great start to the season, but they managed to end a two-game losing run with a victory over Girona at Mestalla, while they progressed to the 1/4 finals of Copa del Rey after a convincing 4-0 win over Las Palmas. The Bats are in the 3rd position at the moment with 37 points, one behind Atletico Madrid and 11 behind Barcelona, and although it is not realistic to expect them fighting for the title, Marcelino’s side is a big candidate to earn a top-four finish and secure the Champions League spot.
Betting Odds on the Total at BetDSI Sportsbook
Over 2.5 goals @ -143
Under 2.5 goals @ +110
Why bet on the Under?
Deportivo is having difficulties in front of the goal lately as they scored just three in the previous five matches and this inefficiency could play a big part on this one. Valencia scored a pair of goals in the last three games on the road, so we can say these rivals are not in a proper mood when it comes to scoring goals recently. Another good reason for playing on the under here is the fact that they combined for three or more goals on just one occasion in the last five H2H encounters, so the players who are following tradition could opt for under.
Why bet on the Over?
Two particular players are coming to my mind when thinking about goals on this one – Florin Andone and Luciano Vietto. The Romanian international had some injury-related issues and missed a few games in November and December, but he returned to the pitch and bagged a goal in each of the last two matches against Celta and Villarreal; La Coruna’s only goals in those fixtures. Luciano Vietto came to Mestalla as loaned player from Atletico Madrid as Los Colchoneros now have Diego Costa available, and the Argentinean was deemed surplus to requirements at Wanda Metropolitano, so Valencia was more than happy to take him for the remainder of the campaign. The former Villarreal striker already netted a hat-trick in his full debut in a cup tie with Las Palmas and there is no doubt he will be a major reinforcement for the Bats, so I believe he and Zaza will lead the line on this one and will combine for a goal or two. It is important to note that Valencia has the third-best attack in LaLiga when it comes to away matches, while La Coruna’s home defense is one of the worst.
La Coruna vs. Valencia Betting Pick
Deportivo is winless in the past five H2H duels, while only the latest one produced three goals; it was 3-0 at Mestalla last season. La Coruna has issues when defending their net at Riazor recently and I am convinced they will capitulate on a couple of occasions against Valencia as the visitors will arrive with an improved attack. On the other hand, the Turks scored four goals in the previous three home games, while Valencia allowed in each of the last three away tilts, so I am backing to see minimum three goals on Saturday, but for those who like to play BTTS, I can suggest you to play YES.
MY PICK: Over 2.5 goals (-143)
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