Planning on watching today’s Bruins and Beacons game? Catch the action at Athletics-Recreation Center in Valparaiso, IN, as the Beacons hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. Belmont is favored by -6.5 in this Missouri Valley conference contest against Valparaiso. The game’s over/under currently sits at 152.5 points.

BELMONT BRUINS VS VALPARAISO BEACONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Valparaiso Beacons +6.5

This game will be played at Athletics-Recreation Center at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.

WHY BET THE VALPARAISO BEACONS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Beacons.
  • Not only will Valparaiso pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can Belmont Pull Out the Win as Road Favorites?

The Bruins are favored by 6.5 points in this game. So far this season, Belmont has been favored in nine games and has gone 8-1 in those matchups. Their record on the road is 4-9, compared to 8-2 at home.

Belmont is coming off a 69-64 win over Murray State. Over their last 10 games on the road, the Bruins are 4-6. For the season, they have a record of 13-11, including a 6-7 mark in Missouri Valley Conference games.

So far this season, Belmont has an ATS record of 9-14. In their last 3 road games, the Bruins are 0-3 vs. the spread and their road ATS record for the year is 4-9. As the favorite, Belmont has gone 4-5 vs. the spread this season and their last 3 favorite ATS mark is 3-0.

Belmont’s over/under record for the season sits at 10-13 and their games have averaged 154.7 points. Today’s over/under line of 152.5 is very close to the average over/under line in their games this year (154.5). So far, 12 of their games have had a higher over/under line than today’s line of 152.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 149 points and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 3-7.

The Belmont offense is coming off a game where they scored 69 points against Murray State. They posted a field goal percentage of 42.9% and connected on 8 threes. The top scorer for the Bruins was Ja’kobi Gillespie with 24 points, while Malik Dia also added 15 to the scoreboard.

Facing Valparaiso, Belmont aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 77.9 points allowed per game (291st). Against Murray State in their most recent game, the Belmont defense gave up a total of 64 points while allowing Murray State to hit 42% of their shots.

Do the Beacons Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?

Valparaiso comes into this game with a record of 6-18 and is currently on a five-game losing streak. They are 2-11 in Missouri Valley Conference play and 4-7 in non-conference games. At home, the Beacons are 4-8 this season and have gone 3-7 in their last ten games at home.

As the underdog, Valparaiso has gone 2-15 in 17 games this season. Their average scoring margin at home is -5.2 points per game, and they are coming off a 101-61 loss to Indiana State in their last game.

Valparaiso’s ATS record this season is currently 13-9-1. However, their home ATS mark is just 5-7, including a 1-2 mark in their last three games at home. As the underdog, the Beacons are 10-6-1 vs. the spread this year and 7-3 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

This season, the over/under record for Valparaiso games is 11-12 and today’s over/under line of 152.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (142.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 145 points and during their last 10 games, the average scoring total is 143 points. So far, 19 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s over/under line.

In their latest game, Valparaiso offense put up 61 points against Indiana State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 34.2% and made 5 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Isaiah Stafford, who is averaging 16.5 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Cooper Schwieger also maintains a PPG average of 12.1 heading into game.

Currently, the Beacons’ defense holds the 212nd rank in the nation, allowing 73.5 points per game. In their most recent game, the Valparaiso defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Indiana State knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 101 points.