Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bruins versus the Racers? Tip off is at at 8:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at CFSB Center in Murray, KY. The over/under for this game is set at 149 points, and Murray State is favored by -2 vs. Belmont in a Missouri Valley conference matchup.


The Pick: Murray State Racers -2

This game will be played at CFSB Center at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, February 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Racers.
  • Not only will Murray State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Are Belmont Ready for a Road Win?

Belmont comes into this game as a 2-point underdog, which is right where they are comfortable. They have gone 4-11 as the underdog this season, compared to their 12-1 record when favored.

On the road, the Bruins have gone just 6-10 this season, and their average scoring margin has been -5.4 points per game. They are coming off a 93-78 win over Missouri State, and over their last 10 road games, they have gone 3-7.

Belmont has an ATS record of 13-15 this season and they are 6-10 vs. the spread on the road. Their ATS mark as the underdog is 5-10 and they have gone 1-4 vs. the spread in their last five games as the underdog. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bruins have a 2-8 ATS record.

Belmont’s over/under record this season sits at 13-15 and today’s line of 149 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (154.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points and their OU record in those games is 1-2.

The Belmont offense is coming off a game in which they scored 93 points vs. Missouri State. Overall their field goal percentage was 47.1% while connecting on 16 threes. Leading Belmont in scoring vs. Missouri State was Cade Tyson with his 25 points. Ja’kobi Gillespie also added 24 points for the Bruins.

Currently, the Bruins’ defense holds the 284th rank in the nation, allowing 77.2 points per game. In their most recent game, the Belmont defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Missouri State knocked down 16 three-pointers on their way to 78 points.

Can the Racers Please their Home Crowd?

Despite their 12-17 overall record, Murray State has been a solid team at home this season, going 7-8 compared to their 4-9 record on the road. They are also 6-7 when favored this season, and they have won three straight games at home.

Most recently, the Racers defeated Valparaiso by a score of 80-68. Over their last 10 games at home, Murray State has gone 5-5, and they are 3-0 in their last three games at home.

Overall, Murray State has an ATS record of 12-16 this season. At home, their ATS mark is just 4-11. As the favorite, the Racers have gone just 3-10 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Murray State is just 3-7 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 149 for the Murray State game is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (142.1). So far, 19 of their games have finished with less points than 149. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 151 points.

In their latest game, Murray State offense put up 80 points against Valparaiso. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 52.6% and made 6 threes. Jacobi Wood led the scoring for the Racers, contributing 24 points. Additionally, Nick Ellington chipped in with 14 points.

So far, the Racers’ defense is ranked 99th in the country at 69.1 points per contest. The Murray State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 68 points and allowed Valparaiso to connect on 6 threes.