Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Knights and Bears. The game is starting at 4:30 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Bears at Farris Center in Conway, AR. Get ready to place your bets! In this Atlantic Sun matchup, the Knights are the betting favorite against the Bears. The over/under for the game is 145.5 points.
BELLARMINE KNIGHTS VS CENTRAL ARKANSAS BEARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Central Arkansas Bears +2
This game will be played at Farris Center at 4:30 ET on Saturday, January 13th.
WHY BET THE CENTRAL ARKANSAS BEARS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 87-61 in favor of the Bears.
- Not only will Central Arkansas pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 148 points.
Will the Bellarmine Defense Show Up on the Road?
After losing their last game to North Alabama by a score of 69-53, Bellarmine has now lost 11 games in a row. They are 4-14 overall this season and have yet to win a game at home, going 0-4. On the road, they are 1-10, and their average scoring margin on the road is -14.1.
So far, Bellarmine has been the underdog in 12 of their 18 games, and they have a record of 1-11 as the underdog. They have been favored in three games, but they have yet to win one of those games.
So far this season, Bellarmine has an ATS record of 4-10-1. On the road, they are 4-6-1 vs. the spread. As the favorite, the Knights are 0-3 ATS this season and just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite.
Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Bellarmine’s games this season (140.1). So far, 13 of their 18 games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 141 points.
The Bellarmine offense is coming off a game in which they scored 53 points vs. North Alabama. Overall their field goal percentage was 38% while connecting on 6 threes. Leading Bellarmine in scoring vs. North Alabama was Peter Suder with his 15 points. Langdon Hatton also added 11 points for the Knights.
Coming into today’s game, the Bellarmine defense is giving up an average of 73.8 points per contest. So far, the Bellarmine defense is giving up an average of 9.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.9 times per game (385th).
Do the Bears Have a Shot at a Home Win?
The Central Arkansas Bears are 1-5 at home this season, and they have lost their last two games at home. Their average scoring margin at home this season is -6.7 points per game.
So far this season, the Bears have been the underdog in 15 of their 18 games. They have an underdog record of 3-12.
Central Arkansas’ ATS record for the season is 8-7-1, and they are 2-3-1 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bears have gone 5-4-1 vs. the spread.
Central Arkansas’ over/under record this season is 6-9-1. The average scoring total in their games this season is 149.1 points, and today’s over/under line is set at 145.5. So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1.
The Central Arkansas offense is coming off a game in which they scored 63 points vs. Eastern Kentucky. Overall their field goal percentage was 32.7% while connecting on 2 threes. In terms of offense, the Bears have a season-long field goal percentage of 40%, putting them 363rd in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 192nd in percentage and 125th in three-pointers made.
The Bears’ defense is presently ranked 276th nationally, allowing an average of 76.9 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Bellarmine, the Central Arkansas defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Central Arkansas made 25 free-throws vs. the Bears.