Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Knights versus the Falcons? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Stroh Center in Bowling Green, OH. The odds for this non-conference game currently have the Falcons as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 143.5 points.


The Pick: Bowling Green Falcons -3

This game will be played at Stroh Center at 7:00 ET on Friday, November 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 88-59 in favor of the Falcons.
  • Not only will Bowling Green pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.

Is a Win at Bowling Green Possible for the Knights?

Bellarmine has already played four games this season, but they haven’t won any of them. Looking back at their last ten road games, including those from last year, Bellarmine has only won three out of ten. In terms of against the spread (ATS), Bellarmine is currently sitting at 0-3 for this season. Including games from last season, Bellarmine holds a 4-6 ATS record over their last ten games.

In three games, Bellarmine comes in with an over/under mark of 2-1-0, with their games averaging 147.3 points per game. The Knights have seen their last five games conclude with a collective average of 65 points per game and an over/under record of 4-1.

The Bellarmine offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 64 points versus Chattanooga. During the game, they attempted 26 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 41.7%. The team’s top scorer is Ben Johnson, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 12.3, while Bash Wieland also maintains a PPG average of 11.7 leading up to the game.

At this time, the Knights’ defense is positioned 124th in the country, permitting 82.0 points per game. So far, the Bellarmine defense is giving up an average of 8.7 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.7 times per game (383rd).

Can the Falcons Grab a Win at Home?

Bowling Green enters their 4th game of the season with a 2-1 record. In their previous ten home games, including last year, Bowling Green has a 2-8 record. Against the spread up to this point, Bowling Green holds a 2-1 record heading into today’s game. Taking into account last season’s outcomes as well, Bowling Green has gone 7-3 vs. the spread in their previous ten games.

In three games, Bowling Green comes in with an over/under mark of 0-3-0, with their games averaging 136.7 points per game. The Falcons’ last five games have finished with a combined 78 points per game and an over/under record of 1-4.

Most recently, the Bowling Green offense finished with just 62 points vs. Oakland. For the game, they hit 5/20 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 43.1%. Coming into the game, the Falcons offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 27%. On average, they get up 22 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 11 made free-throws.

Currently, the Falcons’ defense holds the 49th rank in the nation, allowing 65.7 points per game. Against Oakland in their most recent game, the Bowling Green defense gave up a total of 81 points while allowing Oakland to hit 49% of their shots.