Last Updated: 2016-08-05
- The matches are presented in the order of play
Horacio Zeballos (+120) v. Yoshihito Nishioka (-145)
- If your first question when looking at this is, who are these guys, you probably are not alone in wondering that. To give you a bit of context, Zeballos is 31 year old Argentinian, who’s spent most of his career floating in between the 50-100 world ranking range. You may remember him for his major upset against Rafael Nadal in the 2013 Chile Open Final, where he won his first and only (to date) ATP title. Nishioka is a relatively new name to the tour but at 20 years of age, has a very promising career ahead of him. For many obvious reasons, this match is a complete tossup. Nishioka opens as the favorite after coming off an extremely impressive victory over Alexandr Dolgopolov. Although certainly an impressive victory, don’t read into it too much. Often times after a player pulls off an upset, they end up struggling in their next match. Zeballos, a proven veteran, certainly commands value at (+120) in what is nothing short of a complete tossup match.
Reilly Opelka (+300) v. Donald Young (-400)
- In a situation like this, the smart play is to either avoid the matchup entirely or put a small amount as a value wager on Reilly Opelka. Opelka is an 18 year old who received a wild card entry into this tournament. He has very little ATP career experience, which, on the one hand, bodes well for Young, but on the other, makes it all the more challenging to prepare for and predict. Young is the clear favorite but at (-400), the risk of him losing is far greater than what the line suggests. Young should win but inconsistent players like him should never be trusted with a line this high.
Nick Kyrgios (-275) v. Fernando Verdasco (+200)
- After a very shocking first round upset in Toronto last week, Kyrgios responded nicely against Jamie Donaldson yesterday in straight sets. If Kyrgios plays the way he should (I always say that because you just never know what he and his fellow countrymen, Bernard Tomic will do) Kyrgios wins this match easily. Verdasco at 32 years of age is only getting older and will struggle to keep pace with the blistering shots from Kyrgios throughout the match. A line at (-275) does seem a little bit high given the experience of Verdasco and his decent performances this season; however, all signs do indicate a Kyrgios victory is the likely result.
John Isner (-450) v. Taylor Fritz (+350)
- All of the initial signs would suggest an Isner victory in this match, but I would not feel comfortable taking the big American. He does love this tournament, and it cannot be ignored that he is a three time defending champion, but my reservations stem more from his recent form than his ability to win here. Isner’s two previous tournaments, Washington D.C. and Toronto resulted in early upsets, where he played sloppy tiebreaks. Fritz, a young American with a huge serve will likely push Isner to tie breaks, and at that point, it becomes a tossup. When you have a player like Isner, who’s one dimensional game gets neutralized, and you add in that he is not playing great tennis, a line of (-450) is absolutely not worth taking. It will be challenging for Fritz to win, especially in what is virtually Isner’s backyard, but if you are trying to decide between the two, the value sits on Fritz at (+350).