Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bears versus the Longhorns? Tip off is at at 12:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN. The game will be played at Moody Center in Austin, TX. This Big 12 conference matchup has an over/under of 146.5 points, and the Longhorns are favored to win at home vs. the Bears.
BAYLOR BEARS VS TEXAS LONGHORNS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Texas Longhorns -3.5
This game will be played at Moody Center at 12:00 ET on Saturday, January 20th.
WHY BET THE TEXAS LONGHORNS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Longhorns.
- Not only will Texas pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 146.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Will the Bears Make it Happen on the Road?
After losing their last game to Kansas State, 68-64, the Baylor Bears have a 14-3 record this season, including a 3-1 mark in Big 12 play. For the year, they are 11-2 in non-conference games.
On the road, Baylor has gone 2-3, and their average scoring margin on the road is -3.0. In contrast, they have been dominant at home, going 11-0 with an average scoring margin of +23.6.
As the underdog, Baylor has gone 1-2 against the spread this season and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, the Bears are just 1-4 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record in Baylor games is 8-8, which is right in line with their average over/under line of 149.6. Today’s line of 146.5 is lower than the average scoring in their games of 152.8. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 135 points, and their over/under record during that stretch is 0-3.
Against Kansas State, the Baylor had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 84.8 points per game. They scored 64 points and posted a field goal percentage of 32.9% in the game. Leading the team in scoring is Ja’Kobe Walter, who is averaging 14.8 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, RayJ Dennis also maintains a PPG average of 13.4 heading into game.
Coming into today’s game, the Baylor defense is giving up an average of 68.8 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Texas, the Baylor defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Baylor made 17 free-throws vs. the Bears.
Do the Longhorns Stand a Chance at Home?
After losing two straight games, the Texas Longhorns will look to get back on track at home against Baylor. So far this season, Texas has gone 10-3 at home compared to 2-2 on the road.
Over their last 10 games at home, the Longhorns are 7-3. For the season, they have gone 11-3 as the favorite.
As the favorite this season, Texas has gone just 4-10 vs. the spread. Their home ATS record is 4-9 and over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Longhorns are 3-7.
Today’s over/under line of 146.5 is similar to the average over/under line in Texas’ games this year (146.4). So far, the over/under record in their games is 9-8. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 147 points.
The Texas offense is coming off a game in which they scored 71 points vs. UCF. Overall their field goal percentage was 50% while connecting on 10 threes. The team’s top scorer is Max Abmas, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 17.8, while Tyrese Hunter also carries a PPG average of 11.4 into the game.
At present, the Longhorns’ defense is nationally ranked 71st, allowing 67.1 points per game. Texas’ three-point defense is currently 79th in the country at 6.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.5% of their shots vs. Texas.