Planning on watching today’s Bears and Horned Frogs game? Catch the action at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth, TX, as the Horned Frogs hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on ESPN. The over/under for this Big 12 conference contest is set at 148.5 points, with TCU being favored by -2.5 at home against Baylor.

BAYLOR BEARS VS TCU HORNED FROGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: TCU Horned Frogs -2.5

This game will be played at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena at 9:00 ET on Monday, February 26th.

WHY BET THE TCU HORNED FROGS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Horned Frogs.
  • Not only will TCU pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Bears Pull Off a Win at Fort Worth?

After losing to Houston, Baylor is now 19-8 overall and 8-6 in the Big 12. They have lost two straight games and have gone 2-3 in their last five games on the road.

On the season, the Bears have gone 4-6 on the road, compared to a 14-2 record at home. They have been an underdog in seven games this season, going just 1-6.

Against the spread, Baylor has a 15-10-1 record this season. They are 5-5 vs. the spread on the road and 3-4 as the underdog. In their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bears are just 3-7 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Baylor games is 14-12. On average, their games have finished with 153.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this season (147.7). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average of 160 points compared to their season average of 153.2 points per game.

In their latest game, Baylor offense put up 76 points against Houston. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 43.6% and made 10 threes. Ja’Kobe Walter is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14.7 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, RayJ Dennis brings a PPG average of 13.4 into the game.

Baylor’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 71.4 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.6 threes per game vs. TCU. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.4%.

Can the Horned Frogs Offense Score Enough at Home?

TCU will look to continue its strong play at home when it takes on Baylor. The Horned Frogs have won 12 of their 16 games at home this season, and they come in as 2.5-point favorites. TCU is 16-4 this season when favored, and it has gone 6-4 in its last 10 home games.

Overall, TCU is 19-8 this season, including an 8-6 mark in Big 12 play. The Horned Frogs have gone 11-2 in non-conference games, and they have a scoring margin of +14.4 points per game at home this season. In their last game, the Horned Frogs beat Cincinnati, 75-57.

As the favorite this season, TCU has gone 12-8 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS record is 17-10. At home, the Horned Frogs are 9-7 vs. the spread this year and have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games as the favorite. Over their last three home games, TCU is 2-1 vs. the spread.

TCU has an over/under record of 14-13 this season and today’s line of 148.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (148.8). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 147 points compared to their season average of 152.1 points per game.

In their recent matchup, the TCU offense ended with 75 points against Cincinnati. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 44.8% and made 9 threes. One area that the TCU offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 71st in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 48%.

In terms of defense, TCU is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 70.8 points per game. In their previous game vs. Cincinnati, the Bearcats finished with a field goal percentage of 44% and a total of 57 points vs. TCU.