ESPN+ has the television coverage for this Horned Frogs vs. Bears matchup. Kickoff takes place at 3:30 on Saturday, November 18th. This week 12 CFB showdown is being played at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth TX. In a matchup between two Big 12 teams, the Horned Frogs are 13 point favorites at home. Are they they best bet on the spread? Check out my breakdown and analysis of this matchup below.
BAYLOR BEARS VS TCU HORNED FROGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Baylor Bears +13
This game will be played at Amon G. Carter Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 18th.
WHY BET THE BAYLOR BEARS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 36-23 in favor of TCU.
- Even though we have TCU winning straight-up, we like Baylor at +13.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 58 points, and we like the over with a projected 59 points.
Will the Bears Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?
This season, the Baylor Bears are currently 3-7. So far this season, they have played three road games and five at home.
Baylor’s average scoring differential for the season is -9.5 leading to an ATS mark of 3-5. The Bears have been favored one time and the underdog in seven game
Across 10 games, the average over/under line in Baylor’s matchups is 53.3 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 55.3 points, resulting in an OU record of 5-3.
Heading into their matchup vs. TCU, the Bears’ offense is averaging 113.8 rushing yards per game, along with 3 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 107th rank in rushing yards and 31st rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 274.2 yards per game. In terms of scoring, Baylor is at 22.9 points per game, which is 80th in the NCAA.
As we head into this week’s game, the Baylor defense ranks 129th for points allowed, with an average of 32.4 points per game. Teams have been gaining 213.7 passing yards per game against them (72nd nationally). Against the run, they’ve given up 188.2 rushing yards, placing them 148th in college football.
Can the Horned Frogs Live Up to the Hype at Home?
With a 4-6 record, the TCU Horned Frogs take on Baylor. Their road record so far is (1-3) and at home (2-3).
Heading into this week’s matchup with Baylor, the Horned Frogs have been favored in six games and the underdog in three. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 4-5.
Over the course of 10 games, the average over/under line in TCU’s matchups has been 57.9 points. These games have had an average combined score of 53.7 points, leading to an OU record of 3-5-1.
TCU comes into the game with an offense averaging 28.9, which places them at 50th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 13th nationally, with an average of 297.1 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 66th in the nation, with 346 rushing attempts per game for the season.
As we head into this week’s game, the TCU defense ranks 91st for points allowed, with an average of 24.8 points per game. Teams have been gaining 244.5 passing yards per game against them (131st nationally). Against the run, they’ve given up 150.8 rushing yards, placing them 90th in college football.