Betting on today’s Bears and Wildcats game? Catch the action at Bramlage Coliseum in Manhattan, KS, as the Wildcats hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bears come into this Big 12 conference matchup as the betting favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 141 points.
BAYLOR BEARS VS KANSAS STATE WILDCATS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas State Wildcats +1
This game will be played at Bramlage Coliseum at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, January 16th.
WHY BET THE KANSAS STATE WILDCATS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Wildcats.
- Not only will Kansas State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 141 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.
Does Baylor Have a Shot at a Road Win?
After a 62-59 win over Cincinnati, Baylor comes into this game against Kansas State with a 14-2 record. The Bears have won five games in a row, and they are 3-0 in Big 12 play compared to their 11-2 non-conference record.
On the road this season, Baylor has gone 2-2, and their average scoring margin is -2.8 points per game. Overall, they have been favored in 13 of their 16 games, and their record as the favorite is 12-1.
As the favorite this season, Baylor has gone 9-4 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bears have an impressive ATS mark of 8-2. However, their road ATS record this year is just 1-3 and over their last 10 road games, Baylor is just 3-6-1 vs. the spread.
The over/under record for Baylor this season is 8-7 and the average over/under line in their games is 150.2. So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 141. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 4-6.
In their most recent game, the Baylor offense put up just 62 points vs. the Cincinnati Bearcats. Overall, they are now averaging 86.1 points per game which is 11th in the country. In terms of offense, the Bears have a season-long field goal percentage of 50%, putting them 20th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 38th in percentage and 46th in three-pointers made.
So far, the Bears’ defense is ranked 100th in the country at 68.9 points per contest. The Baylor defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 59 points and allowed Cincinnati to connect on 5 threes.
Will Kansas State Come Through as Home Underdogs?
After a one-point loss to Texas Tech, Kansas State will look to bounce back against Baylor. The Wildcats are 12-4 overall and 2-1 in Big 12 play this season. At home, they are 8-2, and their average scoring margin is +9.0.
So far this season, Kansas State has been the underdog in six of their 16 games, going 3-3 in those contests. They have been the underdog in each of their last two games, and they are 9-1 when favored this season.
At home this season, Kansas State has an ATS record of 4-6 and an overall ATS mark of 9-7. As the underdog, the Wildcats have gone 4-2 vs. the spread this year and have an ATS record of 6-4 in their last 10 games as the underdog. Over their last three home games, Kansas State is just 1-2 ATS.
Today’s over/under line of 141 is lower than the average over/under line in Kansas State games this season (147). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 131 points, which is lower than their season average of 142.8 points per game. So far this year, their over/under record is 7-9.
Against Texas Tech, the Kansas State had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 75.2 points per game. They scored 59 points and posted a field goal percentage of 44% in the game. On the offensive front, the Wildcats have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, ranking 273rd nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 314th in terms of percentage and 182nd in three-pointers made.
In the current season, the Kansas State defense has excelled, sitting 82nd in the nation by allowing 67.6 points per game. In their previous game vs. Texas Tech, the Red Raiders finished with a field goal percentage of 36% and a total of 60 points vs. Kansas State.